Suns vs Warriors Picks and Predictions: Dubs Get Revenge

There are nine games on the NBA betting board on Friday night, headlined by a matchup between the top two teams in the league as the Phoenix Suns take on the Golden State Warriors.

These teams tangled in Phoenix on Tuesday night with the Suns coming out victorious, but with the rematch at Chase Center, the Warriors are installed as 7-point home favorites.

Here are our best free Suns vs. Warriors NBA picks and predictions for Friday, December 3, with tipoff at 10 p.m. ET.

Suns vs Warriors odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

The Warriors opened as 6.5-point favorites with the Over/Under at 216.5. Early money came in on Golden State moving the line to -7 while the total has ticked down to 215.5. When these teams faced off on Tuesday night the Suns were 3.5-point home faves with the O/U at 221.5. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Suns vs Warriors predictions

• Prediction: Warriors -7 (-110)
• Prediction: Under 215.5)
• Best bet: Q1 Over 52.5 (-110)

Predictions made on 12/3/2021 at 9:30 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

Suns vs Warriors game info

• Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
• Date: Friday, December 3, 2021
• Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN

Suns vs Warriors betting preview

Injuries

Suns: Devin Booker SG (Out), Frank Kaminsky PF (Out), Dario Saric F (Out).
Warriors: Damion Lee SG (Probable), Andre Iguodala SG (Out), Klay Thompson SG (Out), James Wiseman C (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Suns are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games playing on zero days' rest. Find more NBA betting trends for Suns vs. Warriors.

Suns vs Warriors picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

The Suns are fresh off a 114-103 win against the Pistons to give them their 18th win in a row. They hosted the Warriors on Tuesday night and came away with a 104-96 victory but lost All-Star shooting guard Devin Booker to a hamstring injury in the second quarter. The injury isn't expected to be serious, but it will keep the Suns' leading scorer out of today's matchup and put more of the offensive burden on Chris Paul and Deandre Ayton. 

The Warriors have been missing All-Star shooting guard Klay Thompson for more than two years but they've been excelling this season without him, going 18-3 SU and 15-5-1 ATS. They're just a half-game behind Phoenix for the best record in the NBA and their ATS mark is the best in the league.

Point guard Stephen Curry is the betting favorite to win NBA MVP and leads the team with 27.8 points per game on 45/41/94 shooting. Andrew Wiggins (18.6 ppg) and the vastly-improved Jordan Poole (18.5 ppg) are giving him plenty of support. Meanwhile, do-everything big man Draymond Green leads the Dubs with 8.0 rebounds and 7.7 assists per game while providing his trademark toughness on defense. 

Both of these teams have been terrific on both ends of the floor, but the Warriors have the edge in net rating, leading the league with an incredible plus-12.6, while the Suns are third with a net rating of plus-7.4. 

The Suns are also on the tail-end of a back-to-back in this one, are playing on the road, and the loss of Booker who averages 23.2 ppg, 4.9 rpg, and 4.5 apg will definitely hurt. The Dubs do a great job of taking care of business at home, going 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite, and in a revenge spot, we like them to cover this spread. 

Prediction: Warriors -7 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

While we're expecting a change in the winner of this matchup from earlier in the week, we don't see a whole lot changing when it comes to the total. These two teams combined for just 200 points in that contest, and that was with the Suns shooting a sizzling 49 percent from the floor and 40 percent from beyond the arc. 

The Warriors are holding opponents to a league-low 42.3 field goal percentage this season, with that number dropping to 40.9 percent at Chase Center, so don't expect another strong shooting performance from the Suns tonight — especially with Booker out of action.

A big reason why both of these teams have been so successful this season has been their terrific defense, with the Warriors leading the league with a defensive rating of 99.8, and the Suns in second place at 103.6. And while both of these teams play at a decent pace, we saw them slow down their tempo in a tense showdown on Tuesday and expect the same playoff atmosphere this time around. 

Golden State has been the best Under bet in the league this season, going 6-15 O/U, and the Suns have gone below the total in five of their last six games against teams with a winning record. 

Prediction: Under 215.5 (-110)

Best bet

This might seem a bit surprising considering our previous lean, but keep in mind that despite totaling just 200 points on Tuesday, these squads combined for 66 points in the opening quarter. 

Although the Warriors allow a league-low 100.5 ppg, they play much looser on that end of the floor in the first quarter surrendering 28.6 ppg — the fourth-highest number in the NBA.

Meanwhile, they lead the league with 30.1 first quarter ppg while the Suns are fourth with 28.8 ppg. Even without Booker yesterday, Phoenix scored 30 points in the first 12 minutes. Expect a slightly higher-scoring first quarter before these teams lockdown on D during the second half. 

Pick: First Quarter Over 52.5 (-110)

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