It’s another great night of NBA action with seven games on the board, which means a seemingly unlimited amount of options when it comes to prop markets.
I’ve sorted through all the numbers and found my three favorites for tonight, including Nikola Vucevic bullying the Wizards and Jamal Murray dishing out dimes against the Kings.
Read more in my NBA picks for Saturday, November 22.
Best NBA player props today
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Nikola Vucevic |
To record a double-double | -120 |
 Ausar Thompson |
Over 4.5 rebounds | -120 |
 Jamal Murray |
Over 6.5 assists | +100 |
Prop #1: Nikola Vucevic to record a double-double
Please excuse the pun, but as the holidays approach, my family has commenced our Harry Potter rewatch, and the wand certainly did not choose these Washington Wizards.
There’s no way to sugarcoat it: the Wizards have been bad. They enter Saturday’s game against the Chicago Bulls with an NBA-worst 1-14 record and now have the joy of playing the second half of a back-to-back after losing 140-110 to the Toronto Raptors last night.
Washington struggles in a lot of areas, but opposing big men have been a real problem. That’s because the Wizards are one of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA and are getting bullied inside.
Washington owns the third-worst rebounding rate in the NBA, allowing the most opponent rebounds per game while surrendering the fourth-most points in the paint per game.
That means I’m betting on a big night from the Bulls’ big man Nikola Vucevic. Vucevic enters this game averaging 15.9 and 9.5 rebounds per game. Vucevic has six double-doubles in 15 starts this season. I like him to get another one tonight.
- Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Chicago Sports Network, Monumental Sports Network
Prop #2: Ausar Thompson Over 4.5 rebounds
One thing that has been magical this season has been this run by the Detroit Pistons. They enter tonight’s matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks winners of 11 in a row.
The Bucks dominated this matchup in recent years, winning 13 consecutive matchups against the Pistons, but boy, can things change quickly. The Pistons are 7.5-point favorites in this game, and one of the big edges they’ll have in this game will be on the glass.
Milwaukee has the second-worst rebounding rate in the NBA, allowing the sixth-most opponent rebounds per game. And that’s with Giannis Antetokounmpo on the floor most games.
But the Greek Freak is sidelined for a bit with a groin injury.
Meanwhile, the Pistons player I’m going to target here is coming off an injury. Ausar Thompson will play his second game since returning from an ankle injury. Thompson looked rusty in his return, but I think that’s giving us some value with his rebounding prop set at 4.5.
I like him to get back to the guy who was averaging 13.9 points and 6.6 rebounds before the injury. So, give me the Over 4.5 rebounds against the Bucks.
- Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: FanDuel Sports Network Detroit, FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin
Prop #3: Jamal Murray Over 6.5 assists
The nightcap of this Saturday's NBA schedule sees Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets host the struggling Sacramento Kings.
The Nuggets are off to an impressive 12-3 start thanks to their ability to get buckets. Denver enters this game ranked second in offensive rating, and one thing that makes the Nuggets’ offense so dangerous is their ability and willingness to pass the basketball.
The Nuggets rank ninth in the NBA in assist rate per possession and are sixth in assists per game, and they should have no trouble finding the open man against a Kings team that is playing some bad basketball.
Sacramento has lost eight in a row and owns the third-worst defensive rating in the NBA, and allows the second-most opponent assists per possession this season.
Everyone knows about Jokic and his magical passes, but I want to focus on the Nuggets' point guard, Jamal Murray. Murray is quietly having another great season, putting up 22.8 points with 6.5 assists per game.
And he’s been upping those assist numbers lately, putting up 7.1 per contest over the last nine games, going for seven or more six times in that nine-game stretch. That includes handing out eight assists when these two teams last met back on Nov. 11.
At plus money, I love Murray to keep dishing out the dimes tonight.
- Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Altitude Sports, NBC Sports California
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