The Golden State Warriors have been struggling as of late, and they’ll be without Steph Curry on Saturday when the New Orleans Pelicans visit the Bay Area.
Curry’s past absences have meant strong production for Brandin Podziemski, and my Pelicans vs. Warriors predictions expect Podz to step up again tonight.
Here are my best free NBA picks for Saturday’s matchup at Chase Center on November 29.
Pelicans vs Warriors prediction
Pelicans vs Warriors best bet: Brandin Podziemski Over 23.5 points + rebounds + assists (-110)
Brandin Podziemski is averaging just 19.7 PRA this season, but his splits with and without Steph Curry are notable for tonight’s matchup.
With Curry available, Podz has averaged 18.5 PRA across 27.6 minutes. In four games with Curry on the sideline, he’s averaged 24.9 PRA across 30.5 minutes. Podziemski posted at least 25 PRA in two of those contests, including a 30 PRA performance in his last game without Curry.
The New Orleans Pelicans banged-up defense offers a favorable matchup for Podz. New Orleans has allowed the fifth-most points, fifth-most assists and 10th-most rebounds to opponents this season.
I expect a higher-scoring game at Chase Center tonight, and with Curry sidelined and Jonathan Kuminga banged up, Podziemski should take on a larger role as a scorer and facilitator. I’ll bet the Over on this combo line up to 25.5.
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Pelicans vs Warriors same-game parlay
Derik Queen has averaged 5.6 assists across his last eight games, hitting the Over four times and dishing at least four dimes in four of them. He logged only 23 minutes in his last game out but handed out a career-high nine assists.
Both the Pelicans and Golden State Warriors have hit the Over in four of their last six games. Scoring options may be limited, but so will each team's defense. This is a modest point total, and I’ll comfortably take the Over.
Pelicans vs Warriors SGP
- Brandin Podziemski Over 23.5 points + rebounds + assists
- Derik Queen Over 4.5 assists
- Over 226.5
Our "from downtown" SGP: Bey Watch
With Herb Jones sidelined, Saddiq Bey has started each of New Orleans' last three games and recorded a double-double in all of them. He should remain with the first unit tonight, and a double-double against the undersized Warriors is certainly in the cards.
Pelicans vs Warriors SGP
- Brandin Podziemski Over 23.5 points + rebounds + assists
- Derik Queen Over 4.5 assists
- Over 226.5
- Saddiq Bey to record a double-double
Pelicans vs Warriors odds
- Spread: New Orleans +8 (-115) | Golden State -8 (-115)
- Moneyline: New Orleans +265 | Golden State -330
- Over/Under: Over 226.5 (-110) | Under 226.5 (-110)
Pelicans vs Warriors betting trend to know
The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Pelicans vs. Warriors.
How to watch Pelicans vs Warriors
| Location | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Saturday, November 29, 2025 |
| Tip-off | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBA TV |
Pelicans vs Warriors latest injuries
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