Pacers vs Spurs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst 27+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 21, 2026 , 12:42 PM ET • 4 min read

Rosales' Prediction: Expect a low-scoring affair in San Antonio.

NBA

Match starts: 4 hrs
IND
44 %
SA
56 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u233.0 (-110)
Read Analysis
Victor Wembanyama of the San Antonio Spurs NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Victor Wembanyama of the San Antonio Spurs NBA

Two teams on different trajectories intersect Saturday, when the Indiana Pacers visit the San Antonio Spurs.

The Spurs are on a 4-game win streak and trying to chase down the top seed in the West, while Indy has dropped 15 straight and is firmly entrenched in the battle for the top pick in the 2026 NBA Draft.

While Miami has dominated this head-to-head series, my Pacers vs. Spurs predictions and NBA picks have this one in a more defensive battle, where I will target the total.

Pacers vs Spurs prediction

Pacers vs Spurs best bet: Under 233 points (-110)


The Indiana Pacers are 18.5-point underdogs, but weirdly enough, they still compete. Of their 15 straight losses, just five have been by 20+ points.

Their injury list is long, with Ivica Zubac (rib) and Micah Potter (triceps) out and Pascal Siakam (knee) and Andrew Nembhard (knee) headlining a list of seven players listed as questionable.

The San Antonio Spurs have allowed just 105.3 points over their 4-game win streak, with opponents shooting just 42.9% from the field.

Indy will struggle against one of the NBA's premier defenses, who have cashed the Under in three of its last four.

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Pacers vs Spurs same-game parlay


Victor Wembanyama has just a single block in each of the last two games, but he's yet to go three straight without picking up at least two. He's swatted at least three shots in 11 of his last 15 games and has also grabbed 12 boards or more in three of his last four games.

Pacers vs Spurs SGP

  • Under 233 points
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 2.5 blocks
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds

Our "from downtown" SGP: Wemby!

Wemby is coming off a 34-point game against the Suns, and he's gone for 26+ in six of the last eight; those two Unders came during this current 4-game win streak.

I've targeted his 3-point prop because he's been around this number for a while. Wembanyama has hit the Over four times in his last eight, but he's missed the Over by a single triple in each of the other four games.

Pacers vs Spurs SGP

  • Under 233 points
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 2.5 blocks
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds
  • Victor Wembanyama Under 25.5 points
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 2.5 made threes

Pacers vs Spurs odds

  • Spread: Pacers +17.5 (-110) | Spurs -17.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Pacers +1000 | Spurs -2000
  • Over/Under: Over 233.5 (-110) | Under 233.5 (-110)

Pacers vs Spurs betting trend to know

The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight road games. Find more NBA betting trends for Pacers vs. Spurs.

How to watch Pacers vs Spurs

Location Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Date Saturday, March 21, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV FDSN-IN, FDSN-SW

Pacers vs Spurs latest injuries

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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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