Magic vs Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Scimia's prediction: Points will be precious in South Beach.

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst
Jan 28, 2026 • 14:50 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 3 hrs
MIA
64 %
ORL
36 %
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Miami Heat NBA Bam Adebayo
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Miami Heat center Bam Adebayo in NBA action.

The Orlando Magic will look to break a four-game losing streak as they visit the in-state rival Miami Heat on Wednesday night.

The last two meetings between these teams saw relatively little scoring on both sides, and I’m taking the Under again in my Magic vs. Heat predictions.

Read on to see my full analysis of tonight’s matchup in my free NBA picks for Wednesday, January 28.

Magic vs Heat prediction

Magic vs Heat best bet: Under 229.5 (-110)

No team in the NBA plays faster than the Miami Heat, but that hasn’t always meant that other teams can’t slow them down. We saw that on Sunday when the Phoenix Suns held Miami to only 111 points, albeit in a win for the Heat.

It’s been a similar story in the last two games between the Heat and the Orlando Magic. Orlando won both of those games in December by keeping the fast-paced Miami offense in check, hitting the Under in both games with totals of 211 and 225 points, respectively.

The Magic have also been grinding on offense as of late. They’ve failed to score more than 109 points in any of their last four games, hitting the Under in each of their last three contests.

The loss of Franz Wagner (22.2 ppg), who has been suffering through a variety of injuries this season, has hurt the Orlando offense, and even Paolo Banchero — who scored 37 points on Monday and is averaging 24.5 ppg in January — hasn’t been able to get the Magic back on track.

With Orlando struggling to put up points, but also having a strong track record of imposing their game plan on Miami, I’m not expecting a lot of scoring in tonight’s game.

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Magic vs Heat same-game parlay

Orlando has dropped four straight games and has failed to cover in any of those losses, so I’ll take the heat to cover a small spread, something they’ve done in three of their last four.

I’m also going to take Bam Adebayo to hit his combined rebound and assists Over at 13.5, a number he’s reached six times so far in January.

Magic vs Heat SGP

  • Under 229.5
  • Heat -3.5
  • Bam Adebayo Over 13.5 rebounds + assists

Our "from downtown" SGP: Wiggins plays his part

Andrew Wiggins has compiled at least 18 combined points and assists in five of his last seven games overall and is averaging 18.6 points + assists on the season.

Magic vs Heat SGP

  • Under 231
  • Heat -3.5
  • Bam Adebayo Over 13.5 rebounds + assists
  • Andrew Wiggins Over 16.5 points + assists

Magic vs Heat odds

  • Spread: Magic +2.5 | Heat -2.5
  • Moneyline: Magic +122 | Heat -144
  • Over/Under: Over 229.5 | Under 229.5

Magic vs Heat betting trend to know

The Under is 3-0 in Orlando’s last three games overall. Find more NBA betting trends for Magic vs. Heat.

How to watch Magic vs Heat

Location Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Date Wednesday, January 28, 2026
Tip-off 7:30 p.m. ET
TV FDSN-Florida, FDSN-Sun

Magic vs Heat latest injuries

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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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