Lakers vs Thunder Props & NBA Playoffs Game 2 Best Bets

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst 18+ years betting experience
Updated: May 7, 2026 , 01:05 PM ET • 4 min read

Farmer’s prediction: The Thunder will dominate the Lakers so thoroughly that it actually hurts OKC player props.

This article contains projections for old games! See our best NBA player props today.

Latest NBA Props
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gets to the hoop in Game 1 against the Lakers.

It has become quite clear that the Oklahoma City Thunder will not be bothered by the Los Angeles Lakers, especially with L.A. potentially without Luka Doncic for the entire series.

However, my Lakers vs. Thunder props and NBA picks actually question Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, as Oklahoma City’s reigning MVP won't need to exert much effort for Game 2 on Thursday, May 7.

Best Lakers vs Thunder props for Game 2

Player Pick bet365
Thunder Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 29.5 points -112
Lakers Austin Reaves Under 18.5 points -105
Thunder Jared McCain Over 4.5 points -110

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Game 2 Prop #1: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 29.5 points

-112 at bet365

What happens when Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is awarded only three free throws? He falls short of 20 points for the first time since last year's postseason.

The Oklahoma City Thunder star doesn't need to hurl himself into the floor in this series to produce offense. Given how outgunned the Los Angeles Lakers are, the Thunder will find offense regardless.

On top of that, the Lakers ranked No. 4 this year in foul rate. Opponents took fewer than one free throw for every four field goal attempts.

Perhaps that is a Los Angeles bias; perhaps it is quality defense. Either way, it is a reality.

And without renting space at the free throw line, Gilgeous-Alexander should fall short of his points prop for most of this series, something that will reverse quickly next round with the return of the free throw merchant.

Game 2 Prop #2: Austin Reaves Under 18.5 points

-105 at bet365

Austin Reaves really struggled in Game 1, going 3-for-16 from the field for eight points in 36 minutes.

With injuries working their way through the Lakers’ rotation, Reaves is likely to see even more of a workload, worrying oblique notwithstanding. The problem is that Oklahoma City is well aware of that Los Angeles necessity.

The Thunder have a bounty of defenders seemingly designed to bother a scorer like Reaves. With so few genuine threats in the Lakers’ rotation, Reaves never has a moment away from someone like SGA, Lu Dort, or Alex Caruso.

It is, not to be dramatic, a miserable existence, and it will be the case throughout this entire series for the ailing Reaves.

Game 2 Prop #3: Jared McCain Over 4.5 points

-110 at bet365

Did the oddsmakers not watch Game 1? Do they think the Lakers are suddenly going to solve the Thunder despite going 0-5 against the spread against them this season?

Jared McCain played 15 minutes in Game 1, going 4-for-7 from the field for 12 points, and there is no reason to think Game 2 will be close enough to limit his playing time.

Oklahoma City can't reach much further than McCain in a blowout. He is the ninth or tenth man on this roster, a reflection of the Thunder's embarrassment of riches.

There is even some logic in firing on the McCain 20-point milestone prop, available at +3500. He could get there in a blowout, and this should be exactly that.

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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