Luka Doncic and the Los Angeles Lakers will head to the Motor City to take on the Detroit Pistons tonight, and our NBA player prop projections have found plenty of high-value plays.
Still hungry for more NBA picks? Our complete Lakers vs. Pistons predictions have you covered.
Lakers vs Pistons computer picks for March 23
| Doncic u4.5 threes -140 |
Thompson o9.5 points -125 |
| Reaves o4.5 assists -105 |
Duren u21.5 points -110 |
| Ayton o9.5 points -115 |
Huerter o8.5 points -125 |
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Lakers computer picks
Luka Doncic Under 4.5 threes (-140)
Projection: 3.5 threes
Luka Doncic is the best scorer in the world right now, but that play has caused the books to push his 3-point total a little too high. He's surpassed this line in just two of his last five games, and even if he hits four, he'll still stay Under this line.
Austin Reaves Under 4.5 assists (+115)
Projection: 4.4 assists
The Los Angeles Lakers and Detroit Pistons have been slowing down the pace in their recent outings, which will surely cut into the amount of possessions we'll see in the Motor City tonight.
With LeBron James and Luka Doncic getting their fair share of ball handling, Austin Reaves will see his time with the ball cut down, leading to fewer assists.
Deandre Ayton Over 9.5 points (-115)
Projection: 10.8 points
While the possessions may be cut down, Los Angeles has the fifth-best offense over the last 15 games. With Detroit trying to slow down Luka and Bron, Deandre Ayton will go to work down low.
Pistons computer picks
Ausar Thompson Over 9.5 points (-125)
Projection: 11.4 points
Ausar Thompson is a monster on the boards despite his size, and the Pistons have grabbed the second-most offensive rebounds in the NBA over the last 20 games. Thompson will eat on the offensive glass, leading to easy second-chance buckets.
Jalen Duren Under 21.5 points (-110)
Projection: 18.5 points
Our projections page sees this as a five-star play, projecting three points fewer for Jalen Duren's line tonight. A drop-off in possessions will hamper Duren's shot total, leading to a lower points total than we've seen from the big man in recent outings.
Kevin Huerter Over 8.5 points (-125)
Projection: 9.6 points
No Cade means Detroit needs to find offense elsewhere, and that came from Kevin Huerter in his last outing. Huerter dropped 14 points, and our projections page has him pegged for nearly 10 points tonight.
How to watch Lakers vs Pistons tonight
| Location | Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI |
| Date | Monday, March 23, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Spectrum SportsNet, FDSN-Detroit |
Not intended for use in MA.
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