Lakers vs Pistons Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for March 23

Kyle LaRusic - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Kyle LaRusic • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 23, 2026 , 02:54 PM ET • 4 min read

Our player prop projections for Lakers vs. Pistons include picks for Luka Doncic, Ausar Thompson, and much more!

Deandre Ayton (5) dunks against the Houston Rockets in the second half at Toyota Center.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Deandre Ayton (5) dunks against the Houston Rockets in the second half at Toyota Center.

Luka Doncic and the Los Angeles Lakers will head to the Motor City to take on the Detroit Pistons tonight, and our NBA player prop projections have found plenty of high-value plays. 

Still hungry for more NBA picks? Our complete Lakers vs. Pistons predictions have you covered.

Lakers vs Pistons computer picks for March 23

Lakers Lakers Pistons Pistons
Doncic u4.5 threes 
-140
Thompson o9.5 points
-125
Reaves o4.5 assists 
-105
Duren u21.5 points
-110
Ayton o9.5 points
-115
Huerter o8.5 points
-125

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Lakers computer picks

Luka Doncic Under 4.5 threes (-140)

Projection: 3.5 threes

Luka Doncic is the best scorer in the world right now, but that play has caused the books to push his 3-point total a little too high. He's surpassed this line in just two of his last five games, and even if he hits four, he'll still stay Under this line.

🔥 Bet Doncic Now at bet365!

Austin Reaves Under 4.5 assists (+115)

Projection: 4.4 assists

The Los Angeles Lakers and Detroit Pistons have been slowing down the pace in their recent outings, which will surely cut into the amount of possessions we'll see in the Motor City tonight.

With LeBron James and Luka Doncic getting their fair share of ball handling, Austin Reaves will see his time with the ball cut down, leading to fewer assists.

🔥 Bet Reaves Now at bet365!

Deandre Ayton Over 9.5 points (-115)

Projection: 10.8 points

While the possessions may be cut down, Los Angeles has the fifth-best offense over the last 15 games. With Detroit trying to slow down Luka and Bron, Deandre Ayton will go to work down low.

🔥 Bet Ayton Now at bet365!


Pistons computer picks

Ausar Thompson Over 9.5 points (-125)

Projection: 11.4 points

Ausar Thompson is a monster on the boards despite his size, and the Pistons have grabbed the second-most offensive rebounds in the NBA over the last 20 games. Thompson will eat on the offensive glass, leading to easy second-chance buckets.

🔥 Bet thompson Now at bet365!

Jalen Duren Under 21.5 points (-110)

Projection: 18.5 points

Our projections page sees this as a five-star play, projecting three points fewer for Jalen Duren's line tonight. A drop-off in possessions will hamper Duren's shot total, leading to a lower points total than we've seen from the big man in recent outings.

🔥 Bet duren Now at bet365!

Kevin Huerter Over 8.5 points (-125)

Projection: 9.6 points

No Cade means Detroit needs to find offense elsewhere, and that came from Kevin Huerter in his last outing. Huerter dropped 14 points, and our projections page has him pegged for nearly 10 points tonight.

🔥 Bet huerter Now at bet365!

How to watch Lakers vs Pistons tonight

Location Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Date Monday, March 23, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV Spectrum SportsNet, FDSN-Detroit

Not intended for use in MA.
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Kyle LaRusic - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kyle LaRusic joined Covers in 2020 with a Holland College diploma in Journalism and a Mount Saint Vincent Degree in Public Relations. Stints at Amherst News and the Cape Breton Post helped sharpen his skills in a newsroom setting, while working for MSVU and Dalhousie’s athletic departments landed Kyle in his comfort zone.

Kyle has been an avid bettor for over five years, starting with just one Sports Interaction account before discovering both the beauty and importance of price shopping. bet365 and Pinnacle are his go to books, but accounts at 10+ sportsbooks give him an array of options. “Rusty” will bet on anything under the sun as long as there’s value and good reasoning behind it, but NHL and NFL are his two favorite leagues to watch and wager on — especially with friends.

Kyle’s biggest tip for any bettor is simple: gamble responsibly. Only bet what you’re willing to lose and make sure to install a proper bankroll method to keep track of your ROI. If you’re still dwelling on the amount you lost the next day, it’s time to decrease your spending.

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