Lakers vs Pistons Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 23, 2026 , 09:28 AM ET • 4 min read

Without their star scorer, the Pistons need an all-hands effort on offense with the red-hot Lakers rolling into Motown. Jason Logan sees Ausar Thompson getting more minutes and going Over his scoring prop.

NBA

Match starts: 8 hrs
LAL
44 %
DET
56 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Ausar Thompson o9.5  Points Scored (-120) Ausar Thompson o9.5 Points Scored (-120)
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Ausar Thompson Detroit Pistons NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ausar Thompson takes the ball to the rim in a game against the Warriors.

The Detroit Pistons have been able to stay afloat without star Cade Cunningham in the lineup the last two games.

Monday’s home matchup with the scalding-hot Los Angeles Lakers will be the toughest test for a shorthanded Detroit squad, which needs small forward Ausar Thompson to step up his scoring against this high-octane L.A. offense.

Thompson’s touches and field goal attempts spiked last time out, and our Lakers vs. Pistons predictions and NBA picks see him playing a bigger role tonight, which so happens to be “Ausar Thompson Bobblehead Night” at Little Caesars Arena.

Lakers vs Pistons prediction

Lakers vs Pistons best bet: Ausar Thompson Over 9.5 points (-120)

With Cade Cunningham sidelined, the Detroit Pistons need an all-hands effort to fill that hole on offense.
 
Ausar Thompson grabbed a shovel last time out, with his touches increasing alongside his shooting activity. He finished just 4-for-10 for eight points over 25 minutes in a one-sided win against Golden State.

Thompson has been on a minutes restriction since returning from a sprained ankle earlier this month, but with Cunningham out and the L.A. Lakers' high-octane offense on deck, Detroit needs his defensive and offensive output.
 
Player forecasts all sit north of 9.5 points from Thompson, with a ceiling of 13.3.

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Lakers vs Pistons same-game parlay

The Pistons are outgunned against the Lakers without Cunningham. Game models call for a close L.A. victory, with the Purple and Gold extending their winning streak to 10 games.

Meanwhile, Luka Doncic is making a late push for MVP, scoring 30+ in nine straight games. The Pistons will focus their energy on taking the ball away from Luka. His projections still call for 30 points — just not 33.

Lakers vs Pistons SGP

  • Lakers moneyline
  • Ausar Thompson Over 9.5 points
  • Luka Doncic Under 32.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Get your motor running!

With Cunningham out, Detroit needs others to pick up the scoring slack. On top of Thompson’s added touches, Daniss Jenkins is getting more minutes and looks from long range. Game models have this non-conference clash tipping the total and going Over 226.5.

Lakers vs Pistons SGP

  • Pistons +2
  • Over 226.5
  • Ausar Thompson Over 9.5 points
  • Daniss Jenkins Over 1.5 threes

Lakers vs Pistons odds

  • Spread: Lakers -2 | Pistons +2
  • Moneyline: Lakers -130 | Pistons +110
  • Over/Under: Over 226.5 | Under 226.5

Lakers vs Pistons betting trend to know

The Pistons are 10-2 SU and ATS as underdogs this season, including 3-1 SU and ATS as home pups. Find more NBA betting trends for Lakers vs. Pistons.

How to watch Lakers vs Pistons

Location Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Date Monday, March 23, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV Spectrum SportsNet, FDSN-Detroit

Lakers vs Pistons latest injuries

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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