- UPDATE: Added a long-shot SGP + who will win prediction.
The New York Knicks need one more win to advance over the Atlanta Hawks, and Karl-Anthony Towns has played a big part in making that happen.
My Knicks vs. Hawks predictions and NBA picks expect more of the same from KAT in this April 30 tilt.
Knicks vs Hawks prediction
Who will win Knicks vs Hawks Game 5
Hawks: As Knicks fans poured out of MSG after a convincing Game 5 win, the Big Apple crowd chanted, “We want Boston”.
Ah, there’s still at least one more game, folks. New York won’t shoot 57% from the field again, and Atlanta’s outside touch should improve in the friendly confines of State Farm Arena, where it shoots nearly 38% from beyond the arc.
I can see the Hawks forcing a Game 7.
Knicks vs Hawks best bet: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 22.5 points + assists (-112)
Karl-Anthony Towns’ disappearing act in the second half of Game 5 was a tough pill for prop bettors to swallow, especially considering how much the Atlanta Hawks struggled to contain the New York Knicks center.
Atlanta switched up its defensive plan on Towns and started the game with 6-foot-7 forwards Dyson Daniels and Jonathan Kuminga checking the 7-footer. The bigger Towns took advantage down low and proceeded to torch defenders as the Hawks threw the kitchen sink at him to no avail in the first half.
More double teams and the benefit of resting the limping KAT in the second half of a blowout (he played only 12.5 minutes) led to just two more points in the final two frames. Despite that sudden power outage in scoring, Towns continued to be a conduit for the New York attack.
KAT had four assists at the halftime break and dished out six total dimes in the win, working primarily as a passer out of the high post. He finished with 10 assists in Game 4 and continued to find cutters and shooters coming off screen action in Tuesday’s victory.
Towns’ points prop has dipped to 18.5 O/U, while his assist line remains at 3.5, with the Over juiced again for Game 6.
Given KAT's dominance in the first half of Game 5, he could top this total on scoring alone. However, we can pad that with his passing, as the assist market is undervaluing his surge in playmaking over the past two games.
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account
Knicks vs Hawks same-game parlay
The Hawks will dig in on defense and find their shooting form in this do-or-die game back in the ATL. New York looked great at home in Game 5, but the Knicks are just 10-19 ATS as road favorites this season.
C.J. McCollum was MIA at MSG. The veteran sharpshooter has cooled off over the past two games, going a combined 0-for-6 from beyond the arc after opening the series 9-for-23 from distance.
McCollum is a much better shooter at State Farm Arena, knocking down more than 40% of his triples compared to just 34% on the road.
Knicks vs Hawks SGP
- Hawks +2
- Karl-Anthony Towns Over 22.5 points + assists
- C.J. McCollum Over 2.5 threes
Our "from downtown" SGP: Birds of "Trey"
The Hawks survive on home cooking in the ATL.
McCollum and Nickeil Alexander-Walker get back to attacking from beyond the arc, and this final score goes Over the diminutive total of 214 points.
Games with closing totals of 214 or shorter have finished 4-2 O/U in the playoffs.
Knicks vs Hawks SGP
- Hawks moneyline
- Over 214
- C.J. McCollum Over 2.5 threes
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 3.5 threes
Knicks vs Hawks odds for Game 6
- Spread: Knicks -2 (-110) | Hawks +2 (-110)
- Moneyline: Knicks -130 | Hawks +110
- Over/Under: Over 214 (-110) | Under 214 (-110)
Knicks vs Hawks betting trend to know
New York is just 10-19 ATS (34.5%) as a road favorite this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Hawks.
How to watch Knicks vs Hawks Game 6
| Location | State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA |
| Date | Thursday, April 30, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Knicks vs Hawks latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
