Knicks vs 76ers Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for February 11

Don't count on much from Joel Embiid if he's a go against New York as we run the numbers for Knicks vs. 76ers on a few player props for February 11.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Feb 11, 2026 • 14:55 ET • 4 min read
Mitchell Robinson New York Knicks NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. New York Knicks center Mitchell Robinson (23) dribbles.

Our NBA player prop projections for Knicks vs. 76ers dive into recent usage, minutes and other trends to find expected value. Looking at those player props can inform your bets on Wednesday, February 11.

Consider them among our Knicks vs. 76ers predictions and other NBA picks before tonight’s tips.

Knicks vs 76ers computer picks for February 11

Knicks Knicks 76ers 76ers
Robinson o7.5 rebounds
-125
Embiid u28.5 points
-115
Bridges o14.5 points
-110
Embiid u1.5 three-pointers
-115
Towns o1.5 three-pointers
+102
Grimes o9.5 points
-120

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Knicks computer picks

Mitchell Robinson Over 7.5 rebounds (-125)

Projection: 8.3 rebounds

Do not assume Joel Embiid will play for the Philadelphia 76ers, and if he is indeed sidelined before the All-Star break, the New York Knicks’ bigs should thrive on the boards, led by Mitchell Robinson and Karl-Anthony Towns.

🔥 Bet ROBINSON Now at bet365!

Mikal Bridges Over 14.5 points (-110)

Projection: 16.3 points

Of all the Knicks vs. 76ers players prop projections, the computers like this one best. Why?

For one thing, Mikal Bridges has averaged 16.8 points across his last nine games, clearing this modest prop in five of those nine. 

For another, his game is ripe to take advantage of Embiid’s possible absence, happier in the midrange and at the rim than beyond the arc.

🔥 Bet BRIDGES Now at bet365!

Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 three-pointers (+102)

Projection: 1.6 three-pointers

While Karl-Anthony Towns has cleared this prop only once in his last seven games, this bet should always be placed when it is at plus-money.

And with Embiid perhaps limited, who else can the 76ers count on to even skew Towns’ view of the hoop from long distance?

🔥 Bet TOWNS Now at bet365!


76ers computer picks

Joel Embiid Under 28.5 points (-115)

Projection: 26.6 points

While Embiid is listed as questionable due to right knee injury management, he could play but see only limited minutes.

Suddenly this prop would be delightful. With the All-Star Break looming, additional days or even minutes of rest for Embiid could have an exponential benefit.

🔥 Bet EMBIID Now at bet365!

Joel Embiid Under 1.5 three-pointers (-115)

Projection: 1.4 three-pointers

Even if Embiid does play, New York’s swarm of defensive-minded wings should prevent him from getting many open looks from deep.

After OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges comes Josh Hart. Count on them to pester Embiid around the perimeter.

🔥 Bet embiid Now at bet365!

Quentin Grimes Over 9.5 points (-120)

Projection: 10.7 points

Quentin Grimes is also questionable tonight, due to illness. But if he does play, he should pick up Embiid’s slack.

His scoring jumps to 14.7 points per game in 20 games without Embiid compared to 11.3 points per game in 28 games with Embiid this season.

🔥 Bet GRIMES Now at bet365!

How to watch Knicks vs 76ers tonight

Location Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA
Date Wednesday, February 11, 2026
Tip-off 7:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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