A three-game winning streak has the Los Angeles Clippers climbing back in the hunt for the top seed in the Western Conference. The Clips go for a fourth straight victory when they close out a four-game road trip against the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday night.
The NBA odds have Los Angeles as a short road favorite which may have basketball bettors thinking twice. The Clippers have been absolute against the spread poison the past month — covering the spread just four times in the team’s last 15 games.
Sacramento is pushing to avoid the Western Conference Play-In Round, currently sitting eighth in the West. The Kings hope to put an inconsistent March behind them after going 10-6 SU and 8-8 ATS, but they’ll have to do it without top two-way player Malik Monk after he suffered a knee sprain (out 4 to 6 weeks) last week.
I size up the spread and Over/Under total for this California clash and give my best NBA picks for the Clippers vs. Kings on April 2.
Clippers vs Kings predictions
My best bet: Ivica Zubac Over 8.5 Rebound (+105 at DraftKings)
The Los Angeles Clippers’ current three-game winning streak has been powered by many of players, and L.A.’s big man in the middle — Ivica Zubac — is one of them.
The 7-footer has been especially sound inside the past two games, putting up 24 points and 12 rebounds in the win at Charlotte this weekend as well as 14 points and nine boards in the victory at Orlando the game before.
Zubac, who averages just over nine rebounds on the season, has snatched nine or more boards in four of the past five games. There’s the potential for plenty of rebounding opportunities against the Sacramento Kings given their preferred pace of play compared to the Clips’ recent foes. Sacramento runs the 12th fastest offensive tempo and fires up the fifth-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA.
Zubac will be matched up with Kings big man Domantas Sabonis, who plays foul line extended on many possessions as the lynchpin in Sacramento’s dribble-handoff offense. That means Zubac is already in prime position to boxout and clean the glass on the defensive end.
Player projections for Zubac’s work on the glass range from 7.8 rebounds to a ceiling closer to 11. The bulk of models are beyond 8.5 rebounds and my number comes out to 9.8, which should have the Over 8.5 priced around -160.
Some sharper books have Zubac Over 8.5 rebounds listed at -121, but you can find this prop priced at plus money at many sportsbooks on Tuesday morning, including +105 at DraftKings.
Clippers vs Kings same-game parlay
Ivica Zubac Over 8.5 rebounds
Zubac Over 9.5 points
Clippers moneyline
Zubac has been working hard on the board and his forecasts call for as many as 11 rebounds tonight.
The Clippers’ center has shown a scoring touch in recent games, and projections call for another double-figure night in the points column.
Los Angeles brings momentum into this final road stop of a four-game swing. It's 22-6 SU when getting the points on the road this season.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Clippers vs Kings odds and trends
Clippers vs Kings live odds
Clippers vs Kings opening odds
- Spread: Los Angeles -1.5 | Sacramento +1.5
- Moneyline: Los Angeles -125 | Sacramento +105
- Over/Under: Over 222.5 | Under 222.5
Clippers vs Kings spread and Over/Under analysis
• The Clippers opened between -1.5 and -3 across the industry on Monday evening and the market consensus is meeting in the middle with the majority of operators now dealing L.A. -2.5.
• Los Angeles is just 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games overall, bringing its season-long record against the spread to 35-39 ATS. The Clippers are 3-4 SU and ATS against the Kings this season, with Sacramento owning a 37-36-1 ATS mark on the year.
• Tonight’s total hit the board as low as 221 points and has since been bet up to 223. Los Angeles has topped the total in nine of its previous dozen games heading into Tuesday and is 18-20-1 O/U on the road. The Kings have gone Under in 10 of their last 12 outings but boast a 21-15-1 O/U count inside Golden 1 Center.
• Covers Consensus data shows 64% of early picks laying the points with the Clippers while 64% of picks on the total are taking the Over in Sacramento tonight.
Clippers vs Kings trend
The Clippers have won outright on the moneyline in 25 of their last 33 away games (+17.05 Units.) Find more NBA betting trends for Clippers vs. Kings.
Clippers vs Kings game info
| Location: | Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA |
| Date: | Tuesday, April 2, 2024 |
| Tip-off: | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NBCSCA, KTLA |
Not intended for use in MA.
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