Celtics vs Pacers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Pacers come limping out of Christmas, and the Celtics are ready to pounce on their wounded prey.

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Dec 26, 2025 • 08:37 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 8 hrs
IND
54 %
BOS
46 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Boston -8.5 (-105) Boston -8.5 (-105)
Read Analysis
Boston Celtics forward Jaylen Brown (7) is fouled by Milwaukee Bucks guard Gary Harris (11) in the third quarter at Fiserv Forum.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Boston Celtics forward Jaylen Brown (7) is fouled by Milwaukee Bucks guard Gary Harris (11) in the third quarter at Fiserv Forum.

The Boston Celtics are eyeing a fourth straight win when they visit the Indiana Pacers on December 26 — the same team they just beat to get on their current three-game win streak.

My Celtics vs Pacers prediction and free NBA picks have Boston taking advantage of a depleted Indiana side.

Celtics vs Pacers prediction

Celtics vs Pacers best bet: Celtics -8.5 (-110)

The Indiana Pacers are really putting head coach Rick Carlisle through some agony before delivering the 1,000th win of his illustrious career.

Their latest chance to send Carlisle to the grand club was a disappointing 111-94 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, marking the third time they’ve failed to crack the 100-point plateau during this slide.

A team that was just a win from an NBA title just months ago, Indiana is now last in the NBA in scoring (109.2), field-goal percentage (42.9%), and 3-point percentage (32.1%).

Of course, injuries have been the name of the game for the Pacers this year, and Friday is no exception. 

Forward Isaiah Jackson (concussion) and G Ben Sheppard (calf) are out, joining a cast of players sidelined for Indiana that includes Aaron Nesmith (knee), forward Obi Toppin (foot), and guard Tyrese Haliburton (Achilles), who won’t suit up at all this season.

The Boston Celtics moved to a season-best seven games over .500, capped by a 103-95 win against these same Pacers on December 22. They’ve won both head-to-head meetings this season.

The Celtics have just two losses in their last 10 games, and they’re getting by with a gritty defense, which currently ranks second in the NBA in scoring defense and holds teams to 45.2% shooting from the field.

That’s more than helped the offense, which remains a work in progress without all-star Jayson Tatum (Achilles). The Celtics are scoring 116 points per game, which ranks 17th, while they sit in the top half of the league in both field goal percentage (47.0%) and 3-point shooting (36.2%).   

With the way the C’s are currently defending and the lack of offensive firepower for the Pacers, this should be an easy one for the visitors.

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Celtics vs Pacers same-game parlay

Pascal Siakam is one of the few Pacers who can create offense and doesn't rely entirely on point guards to keep him well-fed. He’s averaging 22.7 points in his last 10, and he’s scored at least 23 points six times.

Jaylen Brown just shredded the Pacers for 31 points in the last game, and he’s got a high but gettable line of 29.5 points tonight.

Brown has scored at least 30 points in all seven December games, averaging 32.4 points on 52% shooting from the field and 41.7% from 3-point range. 

Celtics vs Pacers SGP

  • Celtics -8.5
  • Jaylen Brown Over 29.5 points
  • Pascal Siakam Over 23.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: C's get degrees

Payton Pritchard has been lighting it up in the assist column lately, dropping at least five dimes in seven of the last eight, missing the Over by just one dime.
 
Derrick White has been scorching from 3-point range in December, hitting at a deft 41.3% clip, while making at least four triples in seven of his last nine games.

Celtics vs Pacers SGP

  • Celtics -8.5
  • Jaylen Brown Over 29.5 points
  • Pascal Siakam Over 23.5 points
  • Payton Pritchard Over 4.5 assists
  • Derrick White Over 3.5 threes

Celtics vs Pacers odds

  • Spread: Celtics -8.5 (-105) | Pacers +8.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Celtics -350 | Pacers +275
  • Over/Under: Celtics 221.5 | Pacers 221.5

Celtics vs Pacers betting trend to know

Boston has won seven of the last 10 matchups between these two, and has gone 7-3-0 against the spread. Find more NBA betting trends for Celtics vs. Pacers.

How to watch Celtics vs Pacers

Location Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Date Friday, December 26, 2025
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV NBCS-Boston, FDSN-Indiana

Celtics vs Pacers latest injuries

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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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