We have an exciting eight-game slate to begin the week, headlined by a marquee matchup between two of the league's hottest teams: the Los Angeles Lakers and Atlanta Hawks.
I am backing the high-powered Lakers to cover with my NBA against-the-spread picks for Monday, Nov. 9. Let's take a look at the full card of NBA picks.
NBA against the spread picks: Nov. 9
For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 Lakers Hawks7:00 p.m. ET |
+1.5 49% |
 Cavaliers Hornets7:00 p.m. ET |
-8.5 49% |
 Wizards Pistons7:00 p.m. ET |
-10.5 51% |
 Grizzlies Raptors7:30 p.m. ET |
+3.5 52% |
 Pacers Mavericks8:00 p.m. ET |
-3.5 49% |
 Nuggets Rockets8:30 p.m. ET |
-8.5 53% |
 Spurs Suns9:00 p.m. ET |
+8.5 50% |
 Pelicans Warriors10:00 p.m. ET |
-9.5 49% |
Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.
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Expert NBA ATS picks: Nov. 9
Lakers vs. Hawks: Lakers +1.5
The Los Angeles Lakers are leading the league in offensive rating and EFG%. They are an absolute wagon offensively, and I’m not sold that the Atlanta Hawks are up to the task defensively.
They have only played 11 games and have already given up 120+ points to the Magic, Rockets (twice), Heat, Pelicans, Wizards, and Nets.
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: Cavaliers -8.5
The Charlotte Hornets sit 29th in net rating, and dead last in both TOV% and TS%. They are not protecting the ball, and they are not hitting shots.
It’s going to be difficult for them to keep it close against a solid, veteran Cleveland Cavaliers team that ranks fifth in assists per turnover.
Wizards vs. Pistons: Pistons -10.5
The Washington Wizards rank 23rd in offensive rating and 29th in offensive rebounding. It’s going to be tough for them to get good shots against an elite Detroit Pistons defense, and second-chance opportunities will come few and far between.
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: Grizzlies +3.5
Kawhi Leonard’s absence has made life really difficult for the Toronto Raptors, who own a -0.6 net rating over seven games without him.
The Memphis Grizzlies are ninth in the NBA with a +6.80 SRS, and their shot-making will make it hard for the Raptors to gain real separation.
Pacers vs. Mavericks: Mavericks -3.5
The Dallas Mavericks have played a tougher schedule than the Indiana Pacers yet still grade out more than eight points higher in net rating. Factor in home-court advantage, and this is a spot Dallas should take care of business.
Nuggets vs. Rockets: Rockets -8.5
The Houston Rockets are sandwiched between the Spurs and Thunder in Simple Rating System, which is a good place to be.
They’re fifth in true shooting percentage, fourth in offensive rebound percentage, and have home court. They should give the Denver Nuggets all they can handle.
Spurs vs. Suns: Suns +8.5
The Phoenix Suns haven’t traveled in a week and have the rest advantage against a San Antonio Spurs team playing its third road game in four nights.
The Suns rank eighth in EFG% and will test a Spurs defense that should be a half a step slow in this difficult schedule spot.
Pelicans vs. Warriors: Warriors -9.5
The Golden State Warriors lead the NBA in EFG% and TS% during this seven-game heater. They are generating a ton of quality shots and making them count, and should have plenty of easy opportunities for offense tonight.
The New Orleans Pelicans sit 24th in assist-per-turnover, and their decision-making might not be there in a high-pace matchup on a back-to-back.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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