In a NASCAR season that's seen a departure from the ordinary so far, last weekend's historic DQ result definitely takes the cake.
What's in store for this weekend at Indianapolis Motor Speedway? Well, it's a road course, so Cup Series points leader and current human flamethrower Chase Elliott predictably finds himself atop Verizon 200 at The Brickyard odds.
Will Elliott's dominant run continue? Let's break down the field and find the best trends and angles for NASCAR betting this weekend with our Verizon 200 at The Brickyard picks and predictions.
Verizon 200 at The Brickyard best bets
Picks made on 7/27/22 at 11:45 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick above to jump to the full analysis.
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Verizon 200 at The Brickyard favorites
Chase Elliott (+400)
He had a Top-5 car last year but is winless at Indy, even on the oval. Can he join his dad as the first father-son combo to win at Indy in the NASCAR ranks? Elliott was fourth, eighth and second, respectively, on the three road courses run this season, and enters having scored five straight Top-2 finishes including three wins.
Kyle Larson (+650)
He led the most laps and finished third last year. While he was 29th and 15th at both COTA and Sonoma, he was also fourth in Road America and enters this weekend having scored three Top-5 finishes over the last five weeks.
They’re 2-for-3 in road course wins this year with Ross Chastain winning in COTA and Daniel Suarez in Sonoma. Chastain has finished first, seventh and fourth, respectively, on road courses in 2022 and Suarez going 24th, first and fifth himself. The only reason he was 24th in COTA was that he was spun on the restart for the second stage — he led every lap of the opening stage.
Kaulig Racing won this race last year, so why not Trackhouse in 2022? Chastain has seven Top-8 finishes in his last nine starts on the season. Suarez has five Top 10s in his last six, including three in the Top 5.
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Verizon 200 at The Brickyard longshot picks
Ryan Blaney (+1,600)
He was fourth in COTA, sixth in Sonoma, and 11th in Road America, making me start to believe in him on road courses again. He also had a Top 5 here last year, at that.
Austin Cindric (+1,200)
He’s a road racer by nature and was eighth, fifth, and seventh, respectively, in the three road course races run this season. He also won the Xfinity Series race on this very track here a year ago.
AJ Allmendinger (+2,000)
He’s always a threat on road courses and even won Indy last year. This year, he was in the Top 2 on the final lap in COTA before being crashed for the win and finishing 33rd. He was also in the Top 10 late in Sonoma before being spun and finishing 19th, and did get a ninth-place run in Road America.
Verizon 200 at The Brickyard fades
Joe Gibbs Racing
The road courses haven’t been kind to JGR in 2022. They went 3-7-18-28 in COTA, 26-27-30-31 in Sonoma, and 13-17-18-29 in Road America. Their satellite team in 23XI Racing was also 32-38, 18-36, and 27-35 in the same three races.
They’ve looked better than JGR, but not by much. They went 11-19-23-20 in COTA, 4-13-14-21 in Sonoma, and 10-14-14-28 in Road America.
Joey Logano (+4,000)
His three road course finishes in 2022 are 31st, 17th, and 27th. His last four finishes on the season have all been 20th or worse, too.