Max Verstappen is back to third in the Drivers' Championship odds, and he was favored in the F1 odds to take the Sao Paulo Grand Prix.
"Was" is the operative word, as Lando Norris is a massive betting favorite after clinching the pole position during Saturday's sprint while Verstappen tumbled to +4000 and 16th in the starting grid after failing to escape Q1.
Here are my Sao Paulo GP predictions and free betting picks for Sunday, November 9.
2025 F1 Sao Paulo Grand Prix odds
| Driver |  |
|---|---|
 Lando Norris |
-350 |
| Oscar Piastri |
+600 |
 Kimi Antonelli |
+700 |
 Charles Leclerc |
+2000 |
| George Russell |
+2500 |
 Max Verstappen |
+4000 |
| Lewis Hamilton |
+10000 |
 Isack Hadjar |
+10000 |
 Fernando Alonso |
+15000 |
 Oliver Bearman |
+20000 |
| Liam Lawson |
+25000 |
 Nico Hulkenberg |
+100000 |
 Alex Albon |
+100000 |
 Pierre Gasly |
+100000 |
| Lance Stroll |
+150000 |
| Esteban Ocon |
+200000 |
| Carlos Sainz |
+200000 |
| Yuki Tsunoda |
+200000 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto |
+300000 |
| Franco Colapinto |
+300000 |
Odds as of 11-8.
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F1 Sao Paulo Grand Prix 2025 post-qualifying picks
F1 Mexican Grand Prix Prediction: Lando Norris to win
(-350 at bet365)
Anything short of the checkered flag would be a bitter disappointment for Lando Norris, considering his competitors’ positions.
He’s coming off a win at Mexico City, making it three races that Norris has won this year from the pole.
Since a disappointing 18th-place finish in Canada, Norris has been consistent and brilliant, winning three races, finishing second in three, and racking up seven podiums in nine starts.
The final sprint home couldn’t have started better for the Brit, and I expect him to take full advantage of this starting spot.
F1 Mexican Grand Prix prop pick: Charles Leclerc to record a podium finish
(-110 at bet365)
Charles Leclerc has quietly raced his Ferrari to fifth in the overall standings, and he’s on a nice little run of late, picking up a podium finish in both Mexico City and Austin.
Leclerc finished fifth last year and fourth in 2022, bookended with a 19th-place finish in 2023, when he started on the first row in spot two.
Still, I like him to shake off those disappointments and keep lurking in the background of frontrunners like Norris and Piastri.
F1 Sao Paulo Grand Prix 2025 starting grid
| Position | Driver | Position | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lando Norris | 2 | Kimi Antonelli |
| 3 | Charles Leclerc | 4 | Oscar Piastri |
| 5 | Isack Hadjar | 6 | George Russell |
| 7 | Liam Lawson | 8 | Oliver Bearman |
| 9 | Pierre Gasly | 10 | Nico Hulkenberg |
| 11 | Fernando Alonso | 12 | Alex Albon |
| 13 | Lewis Hamilton | 14 | Lance Stroll |
| 15 | Carlos Sainz | 16 | Max Verstappen |
| 17 | Esteban Ocon | 18 | Franco Colapinto |
| 19 | Yuki Tsunoda | 20 | Gabriel Bortoleto |
F1 Sao Paulo Grand Prix 2025 pre-qualifying favorites
Max Verstappen (+140) and Lando Norris (+160) aren't separated by much in the Sao Paulo GP wagering before qualifying. Oscar Piastri (+400) is an isolated third-choice ahead of Ferrari's Charles Leclerc (+1400) and Mercedes' George Russell (+1600).
Lewis Hamilton (+2800) and Kimi Antonelli (+6600) round out the betting options below +25000.
Previous F1 Sao Paulo Grand Prix winners
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull |
| 2023 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull |
| 2022 | George Russell | Mercedes |
| 2021 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
Understanding F1 betting odds
The most popular way to bet on Formula 1 odds is by simply picking the winner of a particular race. Other popular F1 betting options include which car/constructor will win and whether or not a particular race car driver will end up on the podium with a Top-3 finish.
F1 race odds usually look like this:
- Charles Leclerc +400
This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $400 if Leclerc wins that particular race. If one driver is especially dominant, you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of that driver's odds like this:
- Max Verstappen -120
This means that you would need to bet $120 to win $100 on Verstappen winning the race.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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