It’s race week in the Midwest, and you know what that means — cue up the corn dogs, fire up the grill, and buckle in for some elbows-out action under the Iowa sun. The NASCAR Cup Series is rolling into Iowa Speedway for just the second time ever, and this 0.875-mile beast promises tight packs, tire wear like your granddad’s old Goodyears, and chaos on every restart.
The green flag drops on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET, live on USA. So, if you’re looking for sharp NASCAR race picks and want your free betting picks built on up-to-date stats, you’re in the right place. This week, we're going to take some big swings on drivers like Alex Bowman, Chase Briscoe, and the surprisingly well-respected sophomore driver Josh Berry.
Whether you’re in the stands, on your porch, or cranking the race loud enough to drown out any outside noise (“sic” anyone?), let’s break down what matters most for betting the Iowa Corn 350.
NASCAR prop picks for Iowa Corn 350
- Top 10 Finish: Chase Briscoe (+100)
- Top 5 Finish: Alex Bowman (+700)
- Top 10 Finish: Josh Berry (-125)
NASCAR Iowa Corn 350 props and best bets
Top 10 Finish: Chase Briscoe (+100 at bet365)
Chase Briscoe has worked his way into the “must-bet” tier on short tracks this season — no fancy metaphors, just pure stats and execution:
- 👀 1 win, 8 Top 5s, 8 Top 10s in 22 starts in 2025
- ⭐️ 7.1 average finish at Phoenix, Dover, and Richmond — the closest comps to Iowa on the schedule.
- 🥈 Back-to-back runner-up finishes at Dover and Sonoma show he’s in form and versatile.
- 💨 Top 5 average pit stop speed this summer, fueling crucial track position.
- 🏁 Led laps in three consecutive races.
Briscoe’s team is locked in, his composure under pressure is unflappable, and when the race turns frantic in the closing laps, he’s been the guy holding the wheel steady — reliable Top 10 material.
The bookies are giving me plus money? Take my 💵. I have his price projected closer to -150.
Top 5 Finish: Alex Bowman (+700 at bet365)
Alex Bowman has made a 2025 out of quietly climbing the leaderboard, then pouncing when others hit a sour note:
- 😍 11 Top 10s and 5 Top 5s in 22 races
- 🥰 6.4 average position gain on flat ovals — Bowman isn’t just hanging around, he’s closing strong every time.
- 😇 5th at New Hampshire, 6th at Dover — tracks that demand balance and tactical patience, crucial at Iowa.
- 💚 2nd-best restart win percentage on ovals under 1.5 miles
- 🚂 Top 7 in green-flag speed — demonstrating week-in, week-out consistency.
Bowman is your value play for a Top 5 if the late-race restarts stack up. When the tempo changes and the whole field gets “dual-guitar chaos,” Bowman The Showman tends to come alive.
If I were the bookies, I might have shortened this price a bit. Giving more than +450 on Bowman, a Hendricks Motorsports driver, seems risky. And it looks like some steam has hit this play because Bowman's price opened at +800 at some books.
Top 10 Finish: Josh Berry (-125 at bet365)
Don't call him a rookie — Berry’s in his sophomore year, and it shows in the numbers and his confidence:
- 💲 6 Top 10s and 2 Top 5s in 2025 on all ovals, with a strong 12.4 average finish on sub-1.25-mile tracks.
- 👍 Top 10s at Phoenix (7th) & Dover (9th) earlier this season.
- 🫣 13 position gain in late-race segments across short tracks.
- ☺️ 98% green-flag lap completion rate (Top 5 among full-timers).
Berry’s calm, patient style and ability to avoid mistakes put him in a prime position to capitalize if the closing laps turn into a shootout — just like when Slipknot shifts from quiet build-up to frenzy, he’s in control when it matters.
I would've liked to get this at even money. That said, I see value up to -150. Let's give 'er a go.
💯 Why these picks stick
Iowa’s short track drama is famous for late cautions, high tire wear, and wild closing laps. Last year, a quarter of the Top 10 spots changed hands in the last 50 laps. The best bets are those with speed, discipline, and crews that won’t choke when things get heavy. Briscoe, Bowman, and Berry have all demonstrated those traits in 2025.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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