NASCAR All-Star Race Sleeper Picks and Predictions — Dover Motor Speedway

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: May 15, 2026 , 06:06 AM ET • 4 min read

Bubba Wallace is part of Robert Criscola's sleeper selections and long shot picks for the All-Star Race on Sunday, May 17.

NASCAR Cup Series Bubba Wallace
Photo By - Reuters Connect. NASCAR Cup Series driver Bubba Wallace.

Dover Motor Speedway will host the NASCAR All-Star Race for the first time on Sunday, May 17.

While the venue may be familiar, my NASCAR All-Star Race sleeper picks believe the All-Star Race format could help spring a NASCAR Cup Series odds upset.

My free betting picks are led by Bubba Wallace.

NASCAR All-Star Race sleeper picks

  • Ty Gibbs (+1200)
  • William Byron (+1600)
  • Bubba Wallace (+4000)

Picks made on 5-15.

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NASCAR All-Star Race sleeper predictions

Sleeper pick to win: Ty Gibbs
+1200 at DraftKings

Ty Gibbs went 0-for-2 in terms of hitting the All-Star Race Top 10 at North Wilkesboro, but he did win the All-Star Open in 2024.

Gibbs is in the middle of a career year, notching his first win along with five additional Top 5s, two shy of his full-season best. That includes a third-place result at Watkins Glen last week.

The No. 54 driver has a strong track record at Dover, with his average finish of 9.3 ranking third behind only Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott.

Sleeper pick to win: William Byron
+1600 at DraftKings

William Byron has had some bad luck recently at Dover, which I believe is driving up his price for Sunday afternoon.

Byron has wrecked in back-to-back years here, but prior to that, he ran fourth in three of his last four efforts at "The Monster Mile."

The No. 24 pilot's recent overall record is also a bit dirtied up, as he spun out at Watkins Glen and was involved in "The Big One" at Talladega. Factoring those results out, he's hit the Top 10 in six of his last seven starts.

Sleeper pick to win: Bubba Wallace
+4000 at DraftKings

Bubba Wallace's recent record at Dover is much better than it looks.

Wallace averaged a 13th-place finish in the first three races following NASCAR's move of the annual Dover race to May. He then suffered an accident in the final stage of the 2024 race and checked in 32nd.

The No. 23 driver managed his best finish yet at Dover, a seventh with three laps led and a Stage 2 placing, last season.

But the cherry on top of this +4000 play is the fact that Wallace is second among current full-time drivers in average finish at the All-Star race (7.3) regardless of venue.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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