The New York Yankees will aim for a sweep and to continue rolling when they face the Los Angeles Angels late tonight.
The Bronx Boys lone blemish in their last nine games is oddly enough against the worst team in baseball in the Colorado Rockies. At the current moment their four-game win streak is tied for the longest in baseball. We expect it to continue this evening but see the biggest value in the prop market.
My Yankees vs. Angels predictions break it down here as I bring you my MLB picks when the two teams meet Wednesday, May 28.
Yankees vs Angels prediction
My Yankees vs Angels best bet: Clarke Schmidt to record a win (+135 at Bet365)
When evaluating whether a pitcher is a strong candidate to record a win, I focus on a few key starting points.
First, a non-negotiable for me is that the implied odds of a pitcher completing five innings—based on their season performance—must be significantly better than the odds of them recording the win. This is an imperfect science, but it helps filter out noise and identify value.
For example, Clarke Schmidt has made seven starts this season. In that stretch, he's gone the distance to qualify as the pitcher of record in five. That 71% rate translates to an implied price of -245. This sizable gap between the two price points checks a critical box.
Second, I assess the starting pitching matchup to determine if one team has a clear edge. There are ways to quantify this and identify value, but let's discuss this matchup qualitatively.
The New York Yankees face another southpaw, Yusei Kikuchi, who struggles with a high barrel rate and throws his fastball over 35% of the time. These are the types of pitchers the Yankees typically hit with great success.
This scenario echoes their game last night against Tyler Anderson, where they produced four of the five hardest-hit balls of the night. The difference? Kikuchi's barrel rate is worse, ranking in the bottom 40th percentile of baseball, making him even more vulnerable tonight. This is especially true since he hasn't yet faced a team in the top five of barrel rate this season—and the Yankees rank first.
On the flipside, we ask, can Schmidt capitalize on the Yankees' hitting advantage with a strong pitching performance? The answer is yes. Schmidt is already poised for positive regression, with an expected ERA 1.5 runs lower than his actual ERA, indicating he has been unlucky. This is a good place for that luck to change. He's a tough matchup for the free-swinging Angels, who strike out at one of the highest rates in the league. Schmidt's four-year track record as an elite whiff producer—ranking in the top 70th percentile in baseball—creates a steep challenge for them.
My projections make the Yankees around a -165 favorite tonight, suggesting value in a standard moneyline bet. However, since Schmidt and the Yankees meet both criteria for a pitcher to record a win, I see greater value in that bet. I'd play it up to +122.
Yankees vs Angels same-game parlay (SGP)
Clarke Schmidt to record win
Jo Adell Over 1.5 strikeouts
It feels pretty natural to focus on strikeouts as a key tenet here, so we’re doing that. Jo Adell is an excellent matchup for Clarke Schmidt. It’s pretty straightforward.
Adell struggles the most when facing breaking ball pitches, ranking above league average in whiff rate and K rate against such pitches. As you may have guessed, Schmidt relies on such pitches to collect strikeouts, with that section of his arsenal generally being reserved for putaway pitches. I’ll take this prop at such an enticing price point for our same-game parlay.
Yankees vs Angels odds
Yankees vs Angels live odds
Yankees vs Angels opening odds
- Moneyline: New York -170 | Los Angeles +140
- Run line: New York -1.5 (+100) | Los Angeles +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9
Yankees vs Angels trend
The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+6.30 Units / 35% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Angels.
How to watch Yankees vs Angels and game info
| Location | Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA |
| Date | Wednesday, 5-28-2025 |
| First pitch | 9:38 p.m. ET |
| TV | YES, FanDuel Sports Network West |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Clarke Schmidt (1-2, 4.58 ERA) |
| Angels starting pitcher | Yusei Kikuchi (1-4, 3.17 ERA) |
Yankees vs Angels latest injuries
Yankees vs Angels weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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