Twins vs Royals Prediction, Picks & Odds — Sunday, September 7

Look for Bobby Witt Jr. to once again get the better of Bailey Ober, per our MLB betting picks.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Sep 7, 2025 • 09:38 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 1 hrs
KC
71 %
MIN
29 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5  Total Bases (-135) Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-135)
Read Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. Royals MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Bobby Witt Jr. in MLB action.

The Kansas City Royals’ offense was on full display Saturday, scoring 11 runs in a blowout victory against Minnesota.

My Twins vs. Royals predictions see the bats making plenty of noise once again, with Bobby Witt Jr. leading the charge. Let’s take a closer look at my September 7 MLB picks.

Twins vs Royals prediction

Twins vs Royals best bet: Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 total bases (-135)

Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a lot of Bailey Ober as AL Central division foes. The head-to-head matchup has consistently played out with Witt Jr. winning.

Kansas City’s star shortstop has absolutely torched Ober, going 12-for-28 with a .429 batting average and .321 ISO.

There’s no reason to expect that to change this time around as Ober is currently going through the worst season of his career. He owns a 5.23 ERA and has not been able to keep the ball in the park, allowing 29 homers through 124 innings of work.

Witt Jr. also profiles very well against Ober’s pitch mix, owning ISOs above .220 vs. three of his four most-utilized pitches when facing right-handed hitters.

Expect Witt Jr. to make plenty of noise against a struggling starter and a depleted bullpen following a trade deadline sell-off.

Twins vs Royals same-game parlay (SGP)

Vinnie Pasquantino has been an RBI machine in recent weeks, driving in 18 runners over his last 18 games. The fun should continue on Sunday afternoon.

Pasquantino has a great track record against Ober, excels against his go-to pitch (the fastball), and Witt Jr. is likely to get on base a couple of times in front of him.

Although the Royals look to be in the better spot offensively, Byron Buxton should have a say for the Twins.

He has recorded multiple bases in six of his last seven games and is fantastic against the sinker-slider combination Michael Lorenzen leans on heavily.

Twins vs Royals SGP

  • Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 total bases
  • Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 RBI
  • Byron Buxton Over 1.5 total bases

Twins vs Royals odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota +110 | Kansas City -130
  • Run line: Minnesota +1.5 (-189) | Kansas City -1.5 (+158)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 (-110) | Under 9 (-110)

Twins vs Royals trend

Bobby Witt Jr. has averaged 2.5 total bases over his last 17 home games against Minnesota. Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Royals.

How to watch Twins vs Royals and game info

Location Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Date Sunday, September 7, 2025
First pitch 2:10 p.m. ET
TV Twins.TV, FDSN Kansas City
Twins starting pitcher Bailey Ober
(4-7, 5.23 ERA)
Royals starting pitcher Michael Lorenzen
(5-9, 4.54 ERA)

Twins vs Royals latest injuries

Twins vs Royals weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo