The New York Mets will look to finally end their 11-game losing streak as they return home to host the Minnesota Twins tonight.
New York finally has what looks like a matchup it should win easily, and I’m taking it to break its losing streak in my Twins vs. Mets predictions. Read on to see why I like the Mets and get the rest of my MLB picks for Tuesday, April 21.
Who will win Twins vs Mets today: Mets (-157)
The New York Mets are catching a break in their first game back at Citi Field, as the Minnesota Twins are turning to starting pitcher Simeon Woods Richardson (0-3, 6.10 ERA) to take the mound after Mick Abel was placed on the injured list.
Woods Richardson has had a rough start to the season, allowing 11 earned runs in nine innings over his past two starts.
New York starter Nolan McLean continues to have an electric start to his MLB career. In four starts this season, batters are hitting .125 with a .426 OPS against McLean. The Mets should finally break their losing streak tonight.
COVERS INTEL: Nolan McLean has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 11 of his 12 career starts, including all four of his outings this season.
Twins vs Mets Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (+103)
We all know that the Mets have been downright awful offensively, but they should find success tonight against Woods Richardson.
The Twins starter has a career 4.35 ERA and 1.318 WHIP, isn’t a big strikeout pitcher, and gives up 1.3 homers per nine innings — all factors that a talented (if struggling) New York lineup can take advantage of.
But as much as I love McLean, Minnesota is likely to put up some offense. The Twins are averaging 5.09 runs per game with a .719 OPS against right-handers. Minnesota should contribute enough to push the total Over the modest 7.5 number tonight.
- ML/RL bets: 5-5, -0.31 units
- Over/Under bets: 3-5, -2.34 units
Twins vs Mets odds
- Moneyline: Twins +140 | Mets -150
- Run line: Twins +1.5 (-150) | Mets -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5
Twins vs Mets trend
The Twins have lost all four of Woods Richardson's starts this season. Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Mets.
How to watch Twins vs Mets and game info
| Location | Citi Field, Queens, NY |
| Date | Tuesday, April 21, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | Twins.TV, SNY |
| Twins starting pitcher | Mick Abel (1-2, 3.98 ERA) |
| Mets starting pitcher | Nolan McLean (1-1, 2.28 ERA) |
Twins vs Mets latest injuries
Twins vs Mets weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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