The Boston Red Sox enter Saturday on an 11-game win streak – their longest since 2016 – and will look to keep it rolling against the Tampa Bay Rays this afternoon at Fenway park.
The Red Sox come in as the favorites (-113) against the Rays (+108), and I’m taking the hosts to keep their streak alive in my Rays vs. Red Sox predictions due to their dominance vs. left-handed pitching.
Find my free MLB picks for Saturday, July 18 below.
Who will win Rays vs Red Sox today: Red Sox moneyline (-116)
The Boston Red Sox have outscored the Tampa Bay Rays 15-3 through the first two meetings of this four-game set, and I’m taking the hosts to win a third straight this afternoon.
Boston is batting .262 and slugging .432 against southpaws, putting the Red Sox within the top four among all MLB teams in both categories.
Rays starter Ian Seymour is trending in the wrong direction with a 5.52 ERA over his last three outings, and his changeup-heavy arsenal will leave him vulnerable against a Red Sox squad that’s been feasting on off-speed pitches.
Play Boston up to -120.
COVERS INTEL: The Red Sox have a 37.1 hard hit percentage against changeups from left-handed pitchers – the fifth-best mark in the majors.
Rays vs Red Sox Over/Under pick: Under 9.5 (-107)
The Red Sox and Rays are two of the stingiest teams in the MLB, ranking fourth (3.55) and ninth (3.88) in team ERA, respectively. Boston’s bullpen owns the third-best ERA in baseball (3.13), so this projects as another quiet game for Tampa Bay at the plate.
Tampa Bay has cashed the Under in four of Seymour’s last five outings, while Boston starter Patrick Sandoval allowed just one run in his only appearance of the season.
I’m playing the Under to -115.
- ML/RL bets: 5-3, +1.18 units
- Over/Under bets: 2-6, -3.9 units
Rays vs Red Sox weather
Rays vs Red Sox odds
- Moneyline: Tampa Bay (+108) | Boston (-113)
- Run line: Tampa Bay -1.5 (+163) | Boston +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-100) | Under 9.5 (-104)
Rays vs Red Sox trend
Boston is 10-2 in its last 12 home games against Tampa Bay. Find more MLB betting trends for Rays vs. Red Sox.
How to watch Rays vs Red Sox and game info
| Location | Fenway Park, Boston, MA |
| Date | Saturday, July 18, 2026 |
| First pitch | 4:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | Rays.TV, NESN |
| Rays starting pitcher | Ian Seymour (6-2, 4.59 ERA) |
| Red Sox starting pitcher | Patrick Sandoval (0-0, 2.08 ERA) |
Rays vs Red Sox latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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