We’re in the heart of the MLB stretch drive, and it’s another busy night on the diamond with all 30 teams hitting the field.
My top MLB player props feature a trio of starting pitchers set to toe the rubber on Tuesday, August 12.
Best MLB player props today
Freeland u17.5 outs (-130)
Arrighetti u5.5 Ks (-120)
Cortes o15.5 outs (+125)
Our 3 best MLB player props for Tuesday, August 12
Take a look at our best bets and expert analysis below.
Kyle Freeland Under 17.5 outs recorded (-130 at FanDuel)
The St. Louis Cardinals have been sneaky against southpaws, with a fifth-ranked wOBA and the third-highest on-base percentage since the All-Star break, so this won’t be an easy test for Colorado Rockies lefty Kyle Freeland.
Plus, the veteran sports a miserable 5.27 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, and 4.71 xFIP while allowing a healthy .358 wOBA on the highway since the beginning of the 2023 campaign.
- Time: 7:45 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: COLR, FDSNMW
Spencer Arrighetti Under 5.5 strikeouts (-120 at BetMGM)
Houston Astros righty Spencer Arrighetti has been hit hard in consecutive starts (12.27 ERA and 2.45 WHIP) since returning from a broken thumb, and he wasn’t sharp during his rehab assignments in the minors (5.73, 1.45), either.
This checks out as a daunting matchup, too. The Boston Red Sox sport the fourth-highest wOBA against righties with a below-average 21.3 K% since the calendar flipped to July.
- Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NESN, SCHN
Nestor Cortes Over 15.5 outs recorded (+125 at BetMGM)
The San Francisco Giants have the lowest wOBA against lefties this season, and San Diego Padres southpaw Nestor Cortes has been stretched out long enough to cruise Over this outs total.
He completed six frames against the Cincinnati Reds on August 3, after all. Additionally, I’m not overreacting to an abbreviated road start against the Arizona Diamondbacks last time out. The San Francisco lineup will be much easier to navigate.
- Time: 9:45 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SDPA, NBCSBA
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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