MLB Player Props & Best Bets Today for September 19: Crochet Threads the Needle

Take the Under on Garrett Crochet's earned run total despite the low number on the board, and back these other two MLB props provided by Quinn Allen tonight.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Sep 19, 2025 • 08:54 ET • 4 min read
Red Sox MLB Garrett Crochet
Photo By - Imagn Images. Red Sox pitcher Garrett Crochet (35) throws during the first inning.

We head into another busy day across the majors, and I’ve dug deep for the best MLB player props this Friday, September 19.

Shota Imanaga, Garrett Crochet, and Salvador Perez will all be included in today’s picks. 

Best MLB player props today

  • Cubs Imanaga o2.5 ER (-140)
  • Red Sox Crochet u1.5 ER (+105)
  • Royals Perez HR (+450)

Our 3 best MLB player props for Friday, September 19

Take a look at our best bets and expert analysis below.

Prop #1: Shota Imanaga Over 2.5 earned runs 

-140 at BetMGM

Shota Imanaga has been one of the Cubs’ best arms this season, but he’s not exactly thriving lately. The Japanese left-hander has allowed Over 2.5 earned runs in four consecutive starts, giving up three earned in each outing. 

There’s not much difference in his efficiency on the road compared to at home. His ERA sits at 3.29 overall, and he’ll face the Cincinnati Reds this evening.

While they’re not exactly an elite offensive ball club, Imanaga simply isn’t at his best right now. The HR has been a major issue over the last month as well.

He faced the Reds earlier this year and only allowed one earned run. Nevertheless, I expect Imanaga to cash the Over again, even if it’s only three earned, just like his previous four appearances. 

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FDSN-OH, MARQ

Prop #2: Garrett Crochet Under 1.5 earned runs

+105 at BetMGM

Garrett Crochet has fully lived up to expectations in his first season with the Red Sox. The southpaw is the ace of this staff, compiling a 16-5 record and 2.63 ERA in 30 starts, striking out 240 in 191 1/3 innings of work. 

While Crochet did allow three earned runs to the Yankees last time out, he’s still hit the Under in earned runs surrendered in three of his previous six outings. This is a low total, but he’s also facing the Rays tonight, whom Crochet has already dominated this year. 

The lefty threw a complete game shutout against them in July, allowing a mere three hits. He’s also even more dominant on the road, posting a 2.29 ERA and 11-2 record. Crochet will bring his best against a divisional rival. 

  • Time: 7:35 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NESN, FDSN-Sun

Prop #3: Salvador Perez home run

+450 at BetMGM

This one may feel a bit risky, but there’s reason to believe Salvador Perez could go deep.

He’ll be facing Max Scherzer of the Blue Jays, and the catcher is 12-for-34 lifetime with three homers against him. Perez is also swinging it well lately, smacking four round-trippers across his last five contests. 

Overall, the veteran has 29 bombs, and 27 of them are off right-handed pitchers. Scherzer has definitely had issues with the long ball as well, allowing 16 in just 15 starts. Right-handed batters have smacked five of them. 

He’s also given up five homers across his last four outings. Perez could reach No. 30 tonight for the Royals. 

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Sportsnet, Apple TV+

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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