We have a jam-packed day of baseball ahead to take us into the weekend, with games running constantly from 4:10 p.m. ET through the remainder of the night.
With 15 games on the schedule, there is no shortage of value on the board. Let’s comb through a few of my favorite plays with three MLB player props for July 25.
Best MLB player props today
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Contreras o1.5 H+R+R (-145) -
Marte o1.5 TB (+100) -
Soderstrom o1.5 H+R+R (+135)
Our 3 best MLB player props for Friday, July 25
Take a look at our best bets and expert analysis below.
William Contreras Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-145 at Caesars)
William Contreras, like many Brewers, is in fine form at the plate. He has cleared this line in six of the past nine games, averaging more than 2.5 H+R+R along the way.
He has a fantastic matchup to build on his recent success Friday night. Marlins starter Cal Quantrill has gotten torched by right-handed bats all year long, allowing a .351 batting average, .260 ISO, and 1.7 WHIP. He can’t keep righties off the bases and has allowed a ton of power.
That plays into the hands of Contreras, who is seeing the ball well and generating great power with a near 97 mph average exit velocity over his last few games.
Contreras has five ABs against Quantrill spanning the last calendar year and has made plenty of noise, going 3-for-5 with multiple balls leaving the bat at over 100 mph.
Expect Contreras and the red-hot Brewers to get the better of Quantrill.
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MLBN
Ketel Marte Over 1.5 total bases (+100 at bet365)
Mike Burrows has not pitched overly well for the Pirates. He has won just one of 11 starts to date and owns an ERA approaching 5.00.
Burrows has struggled against batters of each handedness, allowing a .250+ average and 1.6 homers per nine innings to both.
He tries to attack left-handed batters with fastballs and changeups, throwing one of the two pitches nearly 75% of the time. That’s problematic, as Ketel Marte excels against both.
Marte owns a .291 average and .400 ISO against righties throwing fastballs this season. He has fared just as well against the changeup, hitting .345 with a .346 ISO.
Marte has piled up at least two bases in five of his last seven games, and this is not a matchup where I expect him to slow down.
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SportsNet-PIT, Dbacks.TV
Tyler Soderstrom Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (+135 at BetMGM)
Ryan Gusto has not done a good job of slowing left-handed bats this season, allowing a .297 average, 1.90 WHIP, and 2.1 homers per nine innings. They’re hitting for average and insane power.
Tyler Soderstrom has hit much better vs. righties than lefties. He also profiles very well against the fastball, by far Gusto’s most used pitch against lefties.
Soderstrom is hitting .303 with a .406 wOBA and .260 ISO vs. the fastball. Across the board, those numbers are better than what he produces against any other pitch.
This is a nice spot for Soderstrom, who has failed to clear 1.5 H+R+R in three straight games, to get back on track.
- Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SCHN, NBCSCA
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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