The Pittsburgh Pirates return from the All-Star break with a tough test against the Philadelphia Phillies at PNC Park on Friday night.
The Phillies are picking up steam as favorites against their cross-state rivals and come out of the break as the best team in baseball at 62-34 and 25-18 on the road. Pittsburgh, on the other hand, is right at .500 (48-48) and 22-24 at home.
Can the Phillies stay hot? Read on for our Phillies vs. Pirates predictions and MLB picks for Friday, July 19.
Phillies vs Pirates prediction
My best bet
Philllies moneyline (-148 at BetRivers)
My analysis
I’m playing it safe on Friday night and going with the Philadelphia Phillies on the moneyline. It’s Aaron Nola against Martin Perez at PNC Park with the Phillies holding a distinct advantage on the mound.
Aaron Nola is 11-4 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.02 WHIP through 19 starts this season. The Phillies are 15-4 in Nola’s starts, including 9-2 in his last 11 outings since May 14. Nola routinely goes at least six innings before handing over the ball to one of the best bullpens in the league.
While the Phillies bullpen has had some hiccups lately, Matt Strahm and Jeff Hoffman are fresh off a trip to the All-Star Game with the rest of the pen fully rested.
Martin Perez doesn’t instill as much confidence in the Pittsburgh Pirates. He's 1-5 with a 5.15 ERA and 1.62 WHIP through 14 starts this season. Pittsburgh won Perez’s first two starts but the Buccos are just 2-10 in his last 12, including four straight losses.
Perez is known to fall victim to a crooked number and this Phillies offense can put up runs in bunches.
Phillies vs Pirates same-game parlay (SGP)
Phillies moneyline
Aaron Nola 6+ strikeouts
Trea Turner 2+ total bases
Aaron Nola has racked up 116 strikeouts in 119 2/3 innings so far this season. The Phillies star has recorded 6+ strikeouts in 11 of 19 starts, including five straight outings.
Trea Turner has been red hot recently and all season long with a .349 average and .941 OPS. He’s recorded 2+ total bases in five of his last six games and 56% of his games this season.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Phillies vs Pirates odds
Phillies vs Pirates live odds
Phillies vs Pirates opening odds
- Run line: Philadelphia -1.5 (+120) | Pittsburgh +1.5 (-140)
- Moneyline: Philadelphia -135 | Pittsburgh +115
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5
Phillies vs Pirates spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Phillies opened as slight -130 favorites but their odds have skyrocketed to as high as -166 as of Friday morning.
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have gone from +115 underdogs to as long as +140.
- The total has also gone up from 7.5 to 8.5 at some books with the Over 8.5 (+105) and Under 8.5 (-120).
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Phillies vs Pirates trend
The Phillies have cashed the moneyline in 54 of their last 80 games (+13.55 units / 10% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Pirates
Phillies vs Pirates game info
| Location: | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA |
| Date: | Friday, 7-19-2024 |
| First pitch: | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NBC Sports Philadelphia, SportsNet-Pittsburgh |
| Phillies starting pitcher: | Aaron Nola (11-4, 3.38 ERA) |
| Pirates starting pitcher: | Martin Perez (1-5, 5.15 ERA) |
Phillies vs Pirates latest injuries
Phillies vs Pirates weather
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