Jacob Misiorowski has pitched lights out all season and is neck-and-neck with Cristopher Sanchez for the top spot in the NL Cy Young race.
My Phillies vs. Brewers predictions are backing Misiorowski to put forth another sparkling performance while leading the home side to a multi-run victory.
Let's take a closer look at my MLB picks for Friday, June 12.
Who will win Phillies vs Brewers today: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-120)
The Milwaukee Brewers have a monstrous pitching advantage in this game.
Jacob Misiorowski has been untouchable the past six weeks, allowing one earned run over seven starts since May 1.
He ranks in the 100th percentile in Pitcher Run Value and will make life very tough on the Philadelphia Phillies, who sit last in wOBA vs. right-handed pitching on the road.
Andrew Painter is in the 6th percentile in Pitcher Run Value and has posted a 5.07 xFIP over the last 30 days. The Brew Crew should be able to score plenty.
Play the run line to -125.
COVERS INTEL: The Brewers lead the league with a .393 OBP against right-handed pitching this month.
Phillies vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Under 8.0 (-120)
Misiorowski has faced five teams sitting in the Top 10 in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. He has averaged 10.4 punchouts, 6.4 innings, and allowed just two runs…total.
It’ll be very difficult for the Phillies to muster up any sort of offense, which puts pressure on the Brewers to score in bulk.
While certainly possible, if Painter avoids a blowup, he will turn the ball over to the MLB’s best bullpen by xFIP since May 1.
I see a 5-2 type of game in the cards, and would play Under 8.0 to -130.
- ML/RL bets: 27-23, -3.10 units
- Over/Under bets: 24-24-2, -3.06 units
Phillies vs Brewers odds
- Moneyline: Phillies +205 | Brewers -250
- Run line: Phillies +1.5 (+100) | Brewers -1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under: Over 8.0 (+100) | Under 8.0 (-120)
Phillies vs Brewers trend
The Brewers have hit the Run Line in 13 of the last 20 games (+8.5 units, 35% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Brewers.
How to watch Phillies vs Brewers and game info
| Location | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date | Friday, June 12, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCSP, Brewers.TV |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Andrew Painter (1-7, 6.21 ERA) |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Jacob Misiorowski (7-2, 1.50 ERA) |
Phillies vs Brewers latest injuries
Phillies vs Brewers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
