Mariners vs Athletics Prediction, Picks & Odds — Tuesday, July 29

Yonke's prediction: Logan Evans will be a sight for sore eyes as the A's have the lefty bat power to leave him perplexed on the mound.

JD Yonke - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Betting Analyst
Jul 29, 2025 • 13:18 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Nick Kurtz Athletics MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. thletics designated hitter Nick Kurtz (16) celebrates after hitting his fourth home run of the game.

The Seattle Mariners (57-50) and Athletics (46-63) prepare for Game 2 of their three-game series on Tuesday night at Sutter Health Park.

The Athletics had a four-game winning streak snapped in the opener, but are primed to bounce back at the plate.

My Mariners vs. A's predictions predictions and MLB picks are taking a closer look at the home team scoring more than 4.5 runs for Tuesday, July 29.

Mariners vs A's prediction

My Mariners vs A's best betAthletics Team Total Over 4.5 (-130 at BetMGM)

Logan Evans takes the hill for the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday. The rookie’s 3.64 ERA looks fine on the surface, but his underlying metrics indicate darker days ahead.

His 5.51 xERA and 4.64 xFIP paint the picture that his 5.40 ERA in AAA might be more accurate than what he’s accomplished thus far in the Big Leagues.

The 24-year-old doesn’t miss bats (11th percentile whiff rate), leading to a dastardly low 16.8% K rate (14th percentile).

If you’re going to pitch to contact, then you better induce the soft variety. Not here — Evans ranks in the ninth percentile in both hard-hit rate and average exit velocity.

Tuesday night will be a friendly hitters’ environment with temps in the high 80s and winds of 8 to 9 mph blowing out to left-center field.

Evans’ ERA jumps from 2.60 at home to 4.55 on the road, and his batting average allowed rises from .200 to .323.

The Athletics have hit right-handed pitching well lately (116 wRC+ in July) and have three impact left-handed bats at the top of the order (Lawrence Butler, Nick Kurtz, Tyler Soderstrom) to flummox Evans (.284/.341/.473 splits against lefties).

Mariners vs A's same-game parlay (SGP)

Luis Severino 5+ strikeouts

Nick Kurtz 2+ total bases

Athletics Team Total Over 4.5

Luis Severino isn’t known for his strikeout prowess, but he’s altered that perception lately by recording exactly eight punchouts in two of his last three starts. Seattle has the third-highest K rate (25.8%) against RHP in July.

Kurtz is arguably the hottest hitter in the sport and has recorded 2+ total bases in nine of his last 11 games, so he should pounce upon a favorable matchup.

Mariners vs A's odds

Mariners vs A's live odds

Mariners vs A's opening odds

  • Moneyline: Seattle -119 | Athletics -102
  • Run line: Seattle -1.5 (+133) | Athletics +1.5 (-163)
  • Over/Under: Over 10.5 (-113) | Under 10.8 (-108

Mariners vs A's trend

The Athletics have hit their team total Over in 16 of their last 25 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Mariners vs. A's.

How to watch Mariners vs A's and game info

Location Stadium, City, State/Province
Date Tuesday, 7-29-2025
First pitch 10:05 p.m. ET
TV RSNW, NBC Sports California
Mariners starting pitcher Logan Evans
(4-3, 3.64 ERA)
A's starting pitcher Luis Severino
(4-11, 4.95 ERA)

Mariners vs A's latest injuries

Mariners vs A's weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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