The Seattle Mariners (30-32) got out to an early lead in Game 1 of this series, scoring two runs in the top of the first inning. They would ultimately squander that lead and lose 5-4, making it five losses in their last six games.
They’ll look to get back on track Saturday in Game 2, but the Los Angeles Angels (35-30) will prove a tough out as they’re riding a five-game winning streak.
Looking at MLB odds, the home team is favored to come out on top yet again as they face an inexperienced rookie who was shelled in his first start.
Find out if those odds are justified and more in my full MLB picks and predictions for Mariners vs. Angels on Saturday, June 10.
Mariners vs Angels odds
Mariners vs Angels predictions
Bryan Woo gets the nod for the Seattle Mariners. The Cal Poly alum was rocked for six earned runs across just two innings in his major league debut but remains in the rotation as Marco Gonzales and Robbie Ray are both sidelined.
He’ll hope for better luck in his second start and his track record at AA this season indicates he may have some potential. The 23-year-old right-hander posted a strong 34.3% K-rate and 7% BB rate en route to a pristine 2.05 ERA.
That being said, making the jump from AA straight to the majors is difficult, especially when you’ve thrown just 44 innings at a level above A+. He faces an Angels lineup that has been positively raking at the plate, posting a 127 wRC+ (fifth in the MLB) and .356 wOBA (fourth) across the last 10 days.
Seattle has really struggled of late in general, winning just one of their last six games. Scott Servais’ squad has particularly struggled against tough competition on the road, losing five straight away games against teams with a winning record. They’re a losing road team (13-17) overall.
The Halos, on the other hand, thrive at home. They’ve won four straight games at Angel Stadium to move their season-long record to 19-13. As mentioned earlier, they squash right-handed pitching and therefore it should not be a surprise that they are 19-7 in their last 26 home games against a right-handed starter.
My handicap gives the home team the starting pitching edge and a sizable advantage at the plate. Pair that with a bullpen that’s seventh in ERA (3.46) this season and I think the Halos hold more of an advantage than I am witnessing in the market.
I’ll be targeting the Halos yet again on Saturday after backing them successfully in Game 1. They’re in fine form having won five straight and face a struggling Mariners squad that has been woeful at the plate, and now injuries have necessitated them throwing a rookie pitcher straight into the fire.
The moneyline isn’t a bad price (-130 at it’s lowest, but up to -135 at most other spots) but I will be playing the run line as my best bet in order to get better odds. There’s a -1.5 available for +145, but I won’t be too greedy and will play -1 (push for a one-run victory) at -103 odds. I think that all are fine ways to play the Angels depending on what your preferred book is offering.
My best bet: Angels -1 three-way run line (-103 at Unibet)
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Best MLB bonuses
Looking to bet on some baseball action? Here are two of the best bonuses* available:
A) New users at FanDuel can get a no-sweat first bet up to $2,500! Sign Up Now
B) Get a profit boost up to 100% on one MLB SGP at DraftKings! Opt-in Now
*Eligible USA locations only. Also, check out our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2023.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Mariners vs Angels moneyline analysis
The Angels are listed as a slight favorite, sitting between -130 and -143 as of Saturday morning depending on where you look. Be sure to use our odds tool for MLB to shop around and find the best price available. The best comeback on the away team is +125.
The Halos got the better of this matchup in Game 1, battling back from a 2-0 deficit in the first innings to win 5-4. This line crept down to -112 by first pitch in what was a fantastic pitching matchup between Luis Catillo and Shohei Ohtani.
If the Mariners couldn’t win Game 1 with their ace on the mound, they’ll be hard-pressed to find more success in Game 2 with an inexperienced starter on the bump facing a red-hot Angels lineup.
Oddsmakers have been hesitant to move the line too much during Los Angeles’ mini-streak. The Angels have won four straight games at home and their highest price during that span was -145 on the moneyline; they were -112, -124, and -115 in the other games, respectively.
This team has hardly been a model of consistency in recent years, but I’m comfortable being a believer in the short term, as all of the team’s star players are healthy and available and the team as a whole is in fine form.
Mariners vs Angels Over/Under analysis
The total opened at 9.5 at some spots but has since moved to a flat 9 across all books.
The Halos have been an Under team at home, going 3-8 O/U across their last 11 games at Angel Stadium. The opposite can be said about Seattle on the road, as the Mariners are 8-3 O/U in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning record.
Weather influences this handicapping, as the current forecast calls for winds of 9.2 mph blowing out to dead center at the time of the first pitch. They’re supposed to decrease a bit throughout the game but will blow between 6.9 and 8.1 mph in the same direction. Gusts will go up between 12 and 14 mph.
These teams have gotten into high-scoring affairs recently, hitting the Over in four of their last five meetings overall. That’s been especially true at Angel Stadium, where they’ve combined to hit six Overs in their last eight meetings.
While Seattle’s lineup has been pretty bad overall, it will be glad to see a southpaw. The Mariners have been atrocious against right-handed pitching recently with a 54 wRC+ (28th) across the last 10 days, but have been alright against left-handers with a 113 wRC+ (11th) across that same time span.
Mariners vs Angels game info
|Location:||Angel Stadium, Los Angeles, CA|
|Date:||Saturday, June 10, 2023|
|First pitch:||10:07 p.m. ET|
Bryan Woo (0-1, 27.00 ERA): Now, Woo’s 27.00 ERA obviously doesn’t look good. Keep in mind that he’s thrown just two innings, so his numbers aren’t an accurate representation of future performance. He was blasted in his only appearance, surrendering six earned on just 47 pitches against the Texas Rangers. In his second start, he’ll hope to regain his form from AA, where he had a 2.05 ERA across nine starts.
Patrick Sandoval (3-5, 4.14 ERA): Sandoval was hit hard in his last appearance, allowing six earned runs in 3 ? innings on the road against the Houston Astros. He’s now allowed 17 earned runs in his last five starts to raise his ERA above 4.00. His 4.51 xERA is the highest it’s been since 2020 and his 15.4% K-rate is by far the lowest of his career.
Trend to know
The Angels are 19-7 in their last 26 home games against a right-handed starter. Find more MLB betting trends for Mariners vs. Angels