MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Wednesday, September 17

Kyle Schwarber and Cal Raleigh are putting the finishing touches on a pair of incredible campaigns in the dinger department. Our MLB home run picks will go back to the well on both sluggers today.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Sep 17, 2025 • 11:49 ET • 4 min read
Kyle Schwarber Phillies MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Kyle Schwarber of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Another day, another opportunity for home runs across the big leagues. My MLB player props analysis will focus on Kyle Schwarber, Willy Adames, and the red-hot Cal Raleigh on Wednesday, September 17.

Best MLB home run props today

  • Phillies Schwarber (+339)
  • Giants Adames (+453)
  • Mariners Raleigh (+278)
  • 💲 +8867 parlay💲

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HR Prop #1: Kyle Schwarber

+339 at DraftKings

Kyle Schwarber continues to rake this season. He doesn’t sit far behind Cal Raleigh for the home run lead, smacking 53 bombs with a couple of weeks left in the campaign.

The veteran is in the midst of an eight-game hitting streak, and he’s clubbed three long balls during that span. In fact, Schwarber went deep in three straight contests before Tuesday’s game.

He’ll face Blake Snell tonight, and although Schwarber is just 2-for-11 in the head-to-head, one of those hits left the ballpark. 

The slugger has 22 homers off left-handed pitchers as well. That’s unheard of in a day and age where the lefty-lefty matchup typically favors the pitcher.

Don’t be surprised if he goes deep, whether it’s off Snell or L.A.’s struggling bullpen. 

HR Prop #2: Willy Adames

+453 at DraftKings

Willy Adames is having a nice campaign for the San Francisco Giants, and his power has been on full display. After cracking 32 homers a year ago, he’s sitting at 28 in his first season in the Bay Area. Adames has been a wonderful addition to this ball club. 

The shortstop has three bombs this month so far, and he’ll be up against Brandon Pfaadt this evening. Adames is 4-for-7 lifetime versus the starter with a home run. Pfaadt has trouble with the long ball, allowing 24 of them in 30 outings.

Adames also has 18 round-trippers off right-handed hurlers. 

HR Prop #3: Cal Raleigh

+278 at DraftKings

Cal Raleigh’s historic season continues to take center stage. The catcher is now up to 56 home runs, and he’s already broken numerous records. The Mariners are even in first place in the AL West now, and they have Raleigh to thank for a lot of their success. 

The AL MVP candidate is tearing the cover off the baseball at the moment. He’s slugged three bombs across his last two games, going deep twice on Tuesday evening against the Royals. Raleigh is hitting .309 in September with six round-trippers. 

Cole Ragan faces Seattle tonight, and although Raleigh is 0-for-2 against him lifetime, he’s dangerous against lefties, smacking 21 bombs. 

Today’s HR parlay

Kyle Schwarber home run

Willy Adames home run

Cal Raleigh home run

Today’s most popular HR bets

  1. Seiya Suzuki, Cubs
  2. Cal Raleigh, Mariners
  3. Aaron Judge, Yankees

Betting info courtesy of DraftKings

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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