MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Thursday, August 28

Our MLB betting picks are calling for Kyle Schwarber to end a long (by his standards) homer-less drought tonight. Plus, home run picks for two afternoon games.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Aug 28, 2025 • 11:34 ET • 4 min read
Kyle Schwarber Phillies MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Phillies slugger Kyle Schwarber at the plate.

An eight-game slate means lots of possibilities for home runs across the big leagues. 

My MLB player props analysis will be highlighted by Rafael Devers, Kyle Schwarber, and Bryan Reynolds. 

Best MLB home run props today

  • Giants Devers (+500)
  • Phillies Schwarber (+145)
  • Pirates Reynolds (+500)
  • 💲 +8900 parlay💲

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HR Prop #1: Rafael Devers

+500 at DraftKings

Rafael Devers hasn’t performed as well as the San Francisco Giants were probably hoping when he arrived in a blockbuster trade with the Boston Red Sox. But the slugger put his brilliance on full display in Wednesday’s big win over the Chicago Cubs. 

The Dominican finished the day 4-for-4 with two home runs. Devers now has eight homers in August alone.

While he has a difficult matchup today as Shota Imanaga takes the hill, Devers couldn’t be more confident at the moment. He’s managed to slug eight round-trippers off left-handed hurlers and 16 bombs at home. 

HR Prop #2: Kyle Schwarber

+145 at DraftKings

Kyle Schwarber is having another monster campaign as one of the best power hitters in the game. The veteran has gone deep 45 times and remains in the race for the home run crown.

Six games without a long ball is a lot for Schwarber, but there’s reason to believe that could change today. 

The Philadelphia Phillies face the Atlanta Braves, who send trade deadline acquisition Cal Quantrill to the hill. Although Schwarber is just 3-for-19 lifetime against him, all three of those hits were home runs. 

Quantrill has given up five home runs to left-handed hitters, and Schwarber rakes against righties, taking them deep 28 times this season. 

HR Prop #3: Bryan Reynolds

+500 at DraftKings

Bryan Reynolds is having a bit of a down year for the Pittsburgh Pirates, batting just .246 with 14 homers. However, he’s improved a lot in August, hitting .305 with four bombs.

The Bucs face Miles Mikolas of the St. Louis Cardinals today, and Reynolds has an impressive track record against him, as he’s 15-for-24 lifetime with a homer.

Reynolds left the yard in the series opener on Monday and has cracked six round-trippers on the road in 2025. Eight of his homers are off right-handed pitchers, too.

Mikolas, meanwhile, has struggled with the long ball, giving up 23 in 25 starts. He’s also allowed 15 of those homers to left-handed batters. 

Today’s HR parlay

Rafael Devers home run

Kyle Schwarber home run

Bryan Reynolds home run

Today’s most popular HR bets

  1. Kyle Schwarber, Phillies
  2. Aaron Judge, Yankees
  3. Juan Soto, Mets

Betting info courtesy of DraftKings

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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