MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Monday, September 1

Cal Raleigh has a juicy matchup to finally hit home run No. 51 tonight as he steps in against homer-prone Rays righty Shane Baz. We're also eyeing Juan Soto and Christian Yelich.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Sep 1, 2025 • 10:22 ET • 4 min read
Cal Raleigh Seattle Mariners MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Seattle Mariners C Cal Raleigh breaks his bat on a swing.

It’s an eventful Labor Day across the Majors, with 13 games on the schedule.

My MLB player props and home run picks are highlighted by Juan Soto, Christian Yelich, and Cal Raleigh on Monday, September 1. 

Best MLB home run props today

  • Mets Soto (+400)
  • TEAM Yelich (+500)
  • Mariners Raleigh (+245)
  • 💲 +10250 parlay💲

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HR Prop #1: Juan Soto

+400 at DraftKings

Juan Soto is really starting to find his best swing lately. The slugger is now up to 35 home runs after a very slow start across the first few months of the season. 

The Dominican has smacked three bombs in his last three games, even going deep twice on Saturday against the Miami Marlins. He’ll be looking to stay hot today as the New York Mets head to Motown to face the Detroit Tigers, who send Charlie Morton to the hill. 

The veteran starter is having a brutal campaign, and Soto has destroyed him in the past. He’s 8-for-14 lifetime with three round-trippers.

HR Prop #2: Christian Yelich

+500 at DraftKings

Perhaps he’s not an MVP anymore, but Christian Yelich is still a very solid player, and he’s played a key part in the Milwaukee Brewers’ success in 2025. He’s hitting .270 with 27 home runs and 92 RBI. Yelich just had a very impressive August, batting .324 with seven long balls. 

He’ll be looking to carry that momentum into September, and he’ll be up against Philadelphia Phillies SP Taijuan Walker, against whom Yelich is 5-for-10 lifetime, going deep once. Walker has surrendered seven home runs to left-handed hitters. 

HR Prop #3: Cal Raleigh

+245 at DraftKings

MLB’s home run leader is stuck on 50, but I’m eyeing him to potentially smack No. 51 today. Cal Raleigh has gone hitless in his last five contests.

However, he’s facing Tampa Bay Rays right-hander Shane Baz, who has had serious issues with the long ball, giving up 26, including five across his last two starts. 

Raleigh has 20 bombs off righties, and his power output on the road is impressive, clubbing 25 round-trippers. He’s only 3-for-13 against the Rays this season, but all three hits left the ballpark.

This feels like the perfect day for Raleigh to break out of his skid and do some damage.

Today’s HR parlay

Juan Soto

Christian Yelich

Cal Raleigh

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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