Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Predictions, Picks, Odds: Expect Another Low-Scoring Contest in L.A.

Clayton Kershaw and Madison Bumgarner take the mound tonight for their respective teams, and we expect both of the future Hall of Famers to have success on the bump. Read more in our Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers betting picks.

Kenny Ducey - Contributor at Covers
Kenny Ducey • Betting Analyst
Apr 1, 2023 • 14:01 ET • 4 min read
Clayton Kershaw Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The total may seem low on Saturday night, but it’s warranted.

After a commanding 8-2 win on Opening Day, the Los Angeles Dodgers suffered a crushing 2-1 defeat at home to the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday. They’ll look to secure at least a series split on Saturday when they send their ace to the hill against a familiar face.

Without further ado, let’s break it all down in our free MLB picks and predictions for Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers on April 1.

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers odds

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Diamondbacks vs Dodgers predictions

The Dodgers’ new-look offense was able to break through against the talented Zac Gallen on Thursday night, but Friday was a much different story. The Diamondbacks limited L.A. to just a run on five hits over 7 2/3 innings before Arizona’s bullpen held up their end of the bargain.

So, we’ve seen this team hit and we’ve seen this team struggle at the plate. While James Outman looked good in his L.A. debut, he took a step back in Game 2. Miguel Vargas is still cruising, but that’s about all we can really draw from the first two games.

It’s been a very mixed bag, which is why I’m not in love with the offense on Saturday night. There’s that and the fact that the Dodgers have never hit lefties well.

While Los Angeles is a bit differently constructed this season, it still really doesn’t set up all that well against a southpaw. David Peralta should draw another start (to give us yet another left-handed bat in the order), and there are some pretty unassuming bats coming at you from the right side in Miguel Rojas and Trayce Thompson.

Because of this, I’m going to side with the total here and take the Under. Arizona’s offense has yet to get going through two games and I expect it to struggle all season long. Things shouldn’t get much better tonight when the D-backs face future Hall of Famer Clayton Kershaw.

My best bet: Under 7.5 (-105 at DraftKings)

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Diamondbacks vs Dodgers moneyline analysis

I think this line is pretty accurate, though I’d caution baseball fans that the Dodgers’ offense may experience some growing pains this season.

I do think L.A. is going to get to Madison Bumgarner eventually, but I’d like to point out he gave up nine runs in 17 innings last season against the Dodgers, which is actually a fairly solid number.

Bumgarner allowed just one run over six innings in his last start of the season against L.A., and the former World Series MVP always gets up for these games. 

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under analysis

I’m going to use this as an excuse to talk a little more about Kershaw and what he will do to help this game stay Under the total.

The southpaw had arguably one of the best seasons of his career in 2022. While Kershaw spent some time on the shelf due to injury, he still managed to pitch in 22 games and register a microscopic 2.28 ERA with both a low hard-hit and barrel rate.

Ultimately, I think this line both respects Kershaw and reflects some market speculation over the Dodgers’ offense.

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers game info

Location: Dodger Stadium Los Angeles, CA
Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023
First pitch: 9:10 p.m. ET
TV: MLB Network

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers betting preview

Starting pitchers

Madison Bumgarner (0-0 0.00 ERA): Last year wasn’t a great one for Bumgarner, as he posted a 4.88 ERA. Despite the bleak numbers, MadBum began 2022 in exceptional fashion, boasting a 2.76 ERA over his first nine starts.

Clayton Kershaw (0-0, 0.00 ERA): The lefty is now 35 but doesn’t appear to be slowing down if his 2.28 ERA in 2022 was any indication. Kershaw has dealt with plenty of injuries over the last few years, but when healthy, he remains among the league's best.

Latest injuries

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The Under is 4-0 in Madison Bumgarner’s last four road starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers

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Kenny Ducey - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kenny Ducey has worked in sports media for more than 10 years and began his journey as a credentialed reporter with Fordham University's WFUV Sports before moving on to Sports Illustrated. There, he wrote about baseball, basketball, and tennis - twice covering the NBA Finals.

He's been in the betting space for seven years, and has established himself as a top expert in MLB and tennis handicapping with brands like Tennis Channel, NBC Sports, and DraftKings. He's also been a frequent guest on betting shows such as MLB's Bettor's Eye and Tennis Bets Live.

Kenny has a knack for identifying underappreciated pitchers and tennis players as moneyline underdogs and credits his unique data analysis and hours of watching sports as the biggest reasons for success through the years. His best advice to bettors? Watch the games, trust your eye, and always question the public narrative.

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