It hasn’t been a storybook start for the Chicago Cubs or Philadelphia Phillies ahead of their series opener at Citizen Bank Park on Monday, April 13.
The two postseason hopefuls sport losing records, and my top Cubs vs. Phillies predictions and MLB picks are calling for Philly ace Cristopher Sanchez to pave the way to a convincing win in the City of Brotherly Love tonight.
Who will win Cubs vs Phillies today: Phillies -1.5 (+120)
The Philadelphia Phillies rank sixth in wOBA against righties to start the year, and they’re set to keep the good times rolling against Chicago Cubs starter Javier Assad.
Assad put up a middling 4.10 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, and 4.50 xFIP on the highway across 33 games over the past three years, and the soft-tossing righty is overmatched on the mound today.
Philly ace Cristopher Sanchez ranks in the Top 5 in ERA and xFIP since the beginning of the 2024 campaign, and the Cubbies have a run-of-the-mill .302 wOBA against lefties to start the campaign.
COVERS INTEL: Sanchez has only allowed 23 home runs across 400 innings since the beginning of the 2024 season.
Cubs vs Phillies Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-125)
I’m anticipating Sanchez keeping the Chicago lineup off balance enough to keep this total Under the number. The Cubs have also only played to the Over in 20 of their last 50 away games (-14.90 Units / -25% ROI).
Additionally, Assad has outpitched his underlying metrics throughout his career with his 3.37 ERA well below his 4.72 xERA and 4.56 xFIP, so I expect him to also limit the damage just enough tonight at Citizens Bank Park.
Of course, the Phillies have also been held to just 11 runs during their active 1-4 skid.
- ML/RL bets: 3-4, -0.99 units
- Over/Under bets: 1-2, -1.2 units
Cubs vs Phillies odds
- Moneyline: Cubs +163 | Phillies -170
- Run line: Cubs +1.5 (-127) | Phillies -1.5 (+122)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+113) | Under 8.5 (-117)
Cubs vs Phillies trend
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Over in 20 of their last 50 away games (-14.90 Units / -25% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Phillies.
How to watch Cubs vs Phillies and game info
| Location | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date | Monday, April 13, 2026 |
| First pitch | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS1 |
| Cubs starting pitcher | Javier Assad (1-0, 0.00 ERA) |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Cristopher Sanchez (1-1, 1.65 ERA) |
Cubs vs Phillies latest injuries
Cubs vs Phillies weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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