The Cubs will look for a midweek sweep in Baltimore on Thursday afternoon, in a game that got moved up several hours due to potential bad weather.
Despite having the better record and the advantage in the series, the Cubs are the +114 moneyline underdog. That makes it an easy call for my Cubs vs. Orioles predictions and MLB picks for July 9.
Who will win Cubs vs Orioles today: Cubs moneyline (+114)
It’s a simple policy that doesn’t guarantee a win but pays off in the long run — take the better team as an underdog.
The Chicago Cubs are 10.5 games better than the Baltimore Orioles. Yes, Chicago is on the road, but the Cubs are four games over .500 in road games, while the Orioles are a game under at home.
The Cubs start left-hander David Peterson. The Orioles were already shut out for six innings by another Cubs lefty starter in this series in Matthew Boyd.
Baltimore hits 13 points lower with 58 fewer OPS points against southpaws. Their OPS+ is 10% below league average, too.
COVERS INTEL: Rogers’ ERA is 1.93 lower in day games than night games, and hitters produce an OPS+ against him that’s 19% below league average in the sunshine, compared to 12% over in night games.
Cubs vs Orioles Over/Under pick: Under 9.5 (-104)
The Orioles have scored four or fewer in seven of the last 10 games. The Cubs have been feast-or-famine, scoring at least five in five of the last seven games and a total of one run in the other two.
The five-hour shift in the start time could have an effect on the hitters’ routine, and the Cubs hit 14 points lower in day games with 13 fewer OPS points.
Baltimore starts Trevor Rogers, who has allowed a total of one run in his last three starts. He is 4-1 with a 1.77 ERA and a .188 opponent average since Memorial Day.
- ML/RL bets: 25-33, -4.98 units
- Over/Under bets: 33-29, +1.49 units
Cubs vs Orioles weather
Winds are blowing out gently to left-center on an 86-degree day in Baltimore. There's a 50% chance of rain.
Cubs vs Orioles odds
- Moneyline: Cubs +117 | Orioles -122
- Run line: Cubs +1.5 (-170) | Orioles -1.5 (+156)
- Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-108) | Under 9.5 (+104)
Cubs vs Orioles trend
The Cubs have hit the moneyline in nine of their last 11 away games (+7.85 Units / 67% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Orioles.
How to watch Cubs vs Orioles and game info
| Location | Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD |
| Date | Thursday, July 9, 2026 |
| First pitch | 1:35 p.m. ET |
| TV | MARQ, MASN |
| Cubs starting pitcher | David Peterson (4-7, 6.75 ERA) |
| Orioles starting pitcher | Trevor Rogers (6-7, 4.70 ERA) |
Cubs vs Orioles latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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