Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, Picks & Odds — Thursday, August 21

Sartori's prediction: With a pitching duel likely in store, expect the bats to have a quiet day with Quinn Priester and Shota Imanaga on the mound.

Tony Sartori - Contributor at Covers.com
Tony Sartori • Betting Analyst
Aug 21, 2025 • 08:44 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 3 hrs
CHC
41 %
MIL
59 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u7.0 (-115)
Read Analysis
Shota Imanaga Chicago Cubs MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Chicago Cubs starting pitcher Shota Imanaga (18) delivers during the first inning.

The Chicago Cubs host the Milwaukee Brewers in the final matchup of this five-game series at Wrigley Field. MLB odds list Chicago as a -145 favorite, while the total sits at seven.

My Brewers vs. Cubs predictions target the total in this NL Central matchup.

Read on for my MLB picks for Thursday, August 21.

Brewers vs Cubs prediction

Brewers vs Cubs best betUnder 7 (-110)

The Milwaukee Brewers hand the ball to right-hander Quinn Priester, who should serve as a good candidate to back. Through 23 appearances on the mound this season, Priester is 11-2 with a 3.48 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.

His underlying metrics are equally impressive. Entering this matchup, the right-hander ranks in the top half of the league in xERA, walk rate and barrel rate.

This success is likely to continue against the Chicago Cubs, a team he fared well against in their previous meeting. Priester allowed just two runs in nearly six innings of work.

A pitching duel could be in store, given that left-hander Shota Imanaga takes the mound for the Cubs. Entering this matchup, Imanaga is 8-5 with a 3.06 ERA and 0.95 WHIP.

Like Priester, Imanaga’s analytics suggest continued success. This season, Imanaga ranks in the top half of the league in xERA, xBA, walk rate and hard-hit rate.

Also like Priester, Imanaga has demonstrated success against Thursday’s opponent, given that the southpaw has allowed three or fewer runs against the Brewers in each of their past two meetings.

Brewers vs Cubs same-game parlay (SGP)

Imanaga has excelled in making opposing hitters swing and miss as he ranks in the 84th percentile in chase rate. Subsequently, he has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his past four starts.

There were six or fewer runs scored in three of those four outings.

Brewers vs Cubs odds

  • Moneyline: Milwaukee +118 | Chicago -141
  • Run line: Milwaukee +1.5 (-196) | Chicago -1.5 (+162)
  • Over/Under: Over 7 (-110) | Under 7 (-110)

Brewers vs Cubs trend

There have been seven or fewer total runs scored in three of the first four games of this series. Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Cubs.

How to watch Brewers vs Cubs and game info

Location Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Date Thursday, August 21, 2025
First pitch 2:20 p.m. ET
TV MLB Network
Brewers starting pitcher Quinn Priester
(11-2, 3.48 ERA)
Cubs starting pitcher Shota Imanaga
(8-5, 3.06 ERA)

Brewers vs Cubs latest injuries

Brewers vs Cubs weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Tony Sartori - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Tony Sartori has written over 1,000 pieces of sports betting content across multiple different media outlets. He covers the NHL, UFC, PGA, NFL and MLB. Tony started part-time while attending the University of Wisconsin-Madison, where he went on to receive a B.A. in Economics and a certificate in Entrepreneurship in 2022. He continues to work full-time in the sports betting landscape.

Due to the variety of sports he covers, Tony is handicapping every day. If he had one piece of betting advice for a new sports bettor, it would be to strictly enforce bankroll management rules for yourself. If you set aside $10,000 for your betting bankroll, then you should generally only be betting between $100 - $500 per play.

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