Blue Jays vs Mets Predictions, Picks, Odds: Berrios Buries Mets Batters

Jose Berrios has put his shaky start to the season behind him, and gives the Jays a significant edge on the mound today. See why our MLB picks are fading the Mets on Saturday afternoon.

Last Updated: Jun 3, 2023 10:39 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Jose Berrios MLB
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The Toronto Blue Jays will look to stay hot this afternoon when they take on the New York Mets as slim MLB odds favorites in the second meeting of a three-game series.

Toronto took the series opener to improve to 5-2 in its last seven outings while snapping New York’s three-game winning streak in the process.

The Jays have allowed just seven runs in their last five contests — will pitching lead them to another win? We’ll discuss in our Blue Jays vs Mets MLB picks and predictions for Saturday, June 3.

Blue Jays vs Mets odds

Blue Jays vs Mets predictions

The pitching dominance continued for the Blue Jays in the series opener on Friday night as Toronto cruised to a 3-0 win. Daulton Varsho (2 RBI) and George Springer (1 RBI) did the damage at the plate while Chris Bassitt threw another gem, scattering just three hits over 7.2 innings.

Bassitt hasn’t been the only impressive starter for Toronto, though, as Kevin Gausman and Jose Berrios have also had strong starts to their seasons. Fortunately for the Jays, it’ll be Berrios on the mound this afternoon and the right-hander comes into the contest in great form.

Berrios pitched his second shutout start of the year last time out, scattering four hits over 5.2 innings against the Twins last Sunday. After posting a 4.71 ERA in April, he got that figure down to 3.19 in the month of May while allowing two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts.

The Mets, meanwhile, have struggled at the plate over the last few games. Even though they managed to sweep the Phillies, they scored just 10 runs over those three contests and are now averaging just 2.50 runs per game through their last four outings.

That said, I expect a strong outing from Berrios and likely another low-scoring effort from the Mets.

My best bet: Mets Under 3.5 Runs (+135 at BetMGM)

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Blue Jays vs Mets moneyline analysis

The Blue Jays and Mets both opened in a dead heat at -104 on the moneyline and there was no clear favorite by late Friday night. That makes sense given that the clubs hold nearly identical records and have both been pretty hot of late. Where the Jays may have the edge, though, is on the mound as Berrios has been significantly better than Tylor Megill over the last month.

While Toronto’s starter has shown some improvement over his last five starts, Megill has gone the other way. The right-hander had a passable 3.96 ERA through five starts in April but his ERA inflated to 5.28 last month as he allowed at least three earned runs in four of six starts.

Megill is also coming off his two worst starts of the season, giving up 10 hits and six runs (four earned) to the Rockies on May 28 after surrendering six hits and six runs (four earned) to the Cubs on May 23.

If Megill continues to struggle, Toronto has more than enough firepower to take advantage.

Blue Jays vs Mets Over/Under analysis

Today’s total opened at 9 runs and remained steady there at most books through Friday night. Given how both clubs are playing right now, the Under looks like the clear play today.

The Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between the Blue Jays and Mets at Citi Field. The Under has also cashed in four of Toronto’s last five games and each of New York’s last five home contests.

The Mets have seen just 16 total runs scored by both teams combined over their last four outings, while the Blue Jays’ last five contests have featured just 25 total runs. All signs point to another low-scoring affair between these two clubs today.

Blue Jays vs Mets game info

Location: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Date: Saturday, June 3, 2023
First pitch: 4:10 p.m. ET
TV: MLB Network

Starting pitchers

Jose Berrios (5-4, 3.86 ERA): After a rough start to his year where he allowed 12 earned runs across his first two games, Berrios has found his rhythm over the last few weeks. The right-hander has a tidy 2.30 ERA over his last five starts while going 3-1 over that span.

Tylor Megill (5-3, 4.67 ERA): Megill’s record flatters him a bit as he started the season 3-0 but has since struggled to regain that form. The 6-foor-7 starter was rocked for 10 hits in his last appearance and has given up at least six hits in five of his last eight outings.

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Trend to know

Toronto is 5-0 in Berrios’ last five interleague starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Mets


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