The Toronto Blue Jays bats profile well against Chicago Cubs starter Colin Rea and are positioned to do some damage against his fastball, which makes Rea Over 5.5 hits allowed at -110 my favorite play today.
Read on for my Blue Jays vs. Cubs Predictions and MLB Picks for this Saturday, June 20 matchup.
Blue Jays vs Cubs predictions
Blue Jays vs Cubs best bet: Colin Rea O 5.5 hits allowed (-110)
Colin Rea features a five-pitch mix, but primarily throws a four-seamer fastball with a 48% usage rate.
That’s a pitch the Toronto Blue Jays have punished this season, owning a .264 batting average against the pitch, ranking 4th in all of baseball, and have seen that average climb up to .300 since June 1.
Rea is a contact pitcher, owning a .282 xBA and a 12.1 barrel rate, which ranks him in the 6th percentile among all qualified pitchers in baseball.
When he’s pitching in the zone, he’s getting tagged, allowing an 89% in-zone contact rate. Toronto is an aggressive offense, owning a .329 average when facing the four-seamer over the heart of the plate with a 57.2% hard-hit rate
Additionally, Rea has surrendered six or more hits in eight of his last 11 outings, with a 5.88 ERA in that stretch. I’d play this up to -120.
COVERS INTEL: Opponents are batting .325 on Rea’s four-seamer this season with a .513 xSLG. 
Blue Jays vs Cubs same-game parlay (SGP)
I’ll continue to bank on the Blue Jays' bats having success this afternoon against Rea’s struggling fastball and add Over 0.5 hits for both Kazuma Okamoto and Nathan Lukes.
Okamoto profiles very well against Rea with a .306 average against the four-seamer with a team-high 13.5% barrel rate.
As for Lukes, he’s been punishing four-seamers all season long, owning a .333 average against the pitch. He’s also recorded a hit in 20 of his last 23 outings.
Blue Jays vs Cubs SGP
- Colin Rea Over 5.5 hits
- Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 hits
- Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 hits
Blue Jays vs Cubs home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+390)
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up against Rea’s stuff.
The Chicago Cubs starter gets barreled up a lot off his four-seamer, which is his most used pitch, and gives up hard contact as well, ranking in the 6th percentile in hard-hit rate.
The Jays' third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Additionally, Rea has allowed 12 home runs over 15 outings this season, so he’s susceptible to giving up long balls.
However, the home run market is always volatile, so I’m only making a half-unit wager on this bet.
- Best bets: 35-38, +1.85 units
- SGPs: 14-59, +3.15 units
- HR picks: 11-62, -0.35 units
Blue Jays vs Cubs odds
- Moneyline: Toronto +109 | Chicago -120
- Run line: Toronto +1.5 (-183) | Chicago -1.5 (+160)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-130) | Under 8.5 (+110)
Blue Jays vs Cubs trend
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 56% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Cubs.
How to watch Blue Jays vs Cubs and game info
| Location | Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL |
| Date | Saturday, 6-20-2026 |
| First pitch | 2:20 p.m. ET |
| TV | MARQ, SN |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Patrick Corbin (2-3, 4.57 ERA) |
| Cubs starting pitcher | Colin Rea (5-5, 5.35 ERA) |
Blue Jays vs Cubs latest injuries
Blue Jays vs Cubs weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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