It’s a rubber match today as the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers face off.
I think the Astros are most likely to get the win here, but there’s better value on the board with a Patrick Corbin prop.
My Rangers vs. Astros predictions break it down here as I bring you my MLB picks for Sunday, September 7.
Astros vs Rangers prediction
Astros vs Rangers best bet: Patrick Corbin Over 4.5 strikeouts (+120)
With an actual price of +120 and my fair price at even-money, combined with the expectation from BatX that we see him record around 16 outs, Patrick Corbin Over 4.5 strikeouts is easily the best bet to make in this matchup.
Corbin’s low strikeout rate in the Bottom 20% of baseball gives us a low number here, but it doesn’t fully account for the matchup. One factor is straightforward: the Astros have almost a 5% higher strikeout rate against lefties than righties.
However, the pitching arsenal aspect looms large here as well.
Corbin boasts an array of breaking pitches with the slider and sinker accounting for over 64% of his pitching arsenal. This is good for a bet and potentially bad for the Astros because if you’re looking for a pitch that Houston players struggle against most, it would be the breaking stuff.
This is most notably true against the slider, a pitch that up to six players in the lineup have an above-average strikeout rate against. Luckily for us, in terms of swings-and-misses, that has been the most effective pitch for Corbin this season, inducing a whiff rate of around 38%.
Corbin is well-positioned to get five or more Ks today.
Astros vs Rangers same-game parlay (SGP)
Even though I expect Corbin to be solid, I’m willing to buy low on Framber Valdez because of his historical success against the Rangers, so I'll add the Astros moneyline to the SGP.
I rounded it off with Yordan Alvarez to go over 1.5 total bases because of his hard-hit rate against the heavy breaking pitches he’ll see.
Astros vs Rangers SGP
- Patrick Corbin Over 4.5 strikeouts
- Astros moneyline
- Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 total bases
Astros vs Rangers odds
- Moneyline: Houston -120 | Texas +100
- Run line: Houston -1.5 | Texas +1.5
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5
Astros vs Rangers trend
The Astros have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.90 Units / 24% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Astros vs. Rangers.
How to watch Astros vs Rangers and game info
| Location | Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX |
| Date | Sunday, September 7, 2025 |
| First pitch | 2:35 p.m. ET |
| TV | Space City HN, Victory+ |
| Astros starting pitcher | Framber Valdez (12-8, 3.40 ERA) |
| Rangers starting pitcher | Patrick Corbin (7-9, 4.48 ERA) |
Astros vs Rangers latest injuries
Astros vs Rangers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
