As prediction platforms remain a divisive topic in the gambling industry, one Polymarket trader enjoyed a notably profitable experience wagering on the Super Bowl halftime show.
Key Takeaways
- The user profited about $17,000.
- Their largest purchase included more than $19,000 that said Lady Gaga would feature as a performer.
- Kalshi announced last week it implemented features to restrict insider trading.
At 1:24 a.m. ET on Feb. 8, about 17 hours before kickoff in Super Bowl LX, the anonymous customer was pushed into the spotlight.
A potential Super Bowl halftime show insider has been spotted.
— haeju.eth (@JeongHaeju) February 8, 2026
This wallet was created yesterday and is exclusivly trading Super Bowl halftime show markets.
It currently has $47K deployed and is the largest holder in the Lady Gaga market with 22K shares.
Across every position:… pic.twitter.com/muVR5OzaVs
The above X post detailed the account’s purchases, which included more than $19,000 tied to Lady Gaga making a guest appearance during Bad Bunny’s show.
The user also risked nearly $14,000 prophesying Ricky Martin’s appearance, with roughly $36,000 in addition trades tied to various performers who they predicted would not take the stage during the Super Bowl halftime show, including more than $10,000 on Travis Scott.
Their only loss was in the amount of $446.41 tied to Rauw Alejandro not performing. In total, the user wagered roughly $70,000.
No guest appearances were confirmed or denied before the Super Bowl halftime show.
The customer opened their Polymarket account the day before the Super Bowl and did not purchase contracts in any markets not related to the Super Bowl halftime show.
Following Bad Bunny’s performance - and the confirmation of outcomes in all of the relevant markets - the user walked away with nearly $17,000 in profit, earning them an ROI above 24%.
Update: he was an insider and won all of his bets lolhttps://t.co/C6b0sWNbAl https://t.co/QFCixcKTx5 pic.twitter.com/Pj9ATTVgfH
— haeju.eth (@JeongHaeju) February 9, 2026
The user’s account and their trading history can still be seen here.
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Security and integrity
The account and its anonymous owner are of particular interest given the recent scrutiny surrounding the lack of security at prediction platforms.
State-level gaming regulators don’t support prediction platforms since they aren’t required to receive local gaming licenses or share profits with the states.
Prediction platforms have been accused of lacking proper consumer protection standards. That includes preventing insider trading from government officials and individuals with sensitive details in industries with trading markets, such as politics, sports, finances, entertainment, and more.
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour announced last week that his company banned insider trading by following the same approach as the stock market.
Coincidence?
This is not the first time that Polymarket has dealt with allegations of insider trading.
In January, one anonymous user made approximately $400,000 in January after they predicted that Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro would be captured. The majority of the user's trades were finalized just hours before President Trump announced the unexpected attack that led to Maduro being removed from his country.
The American Gaming Association estimated about $1.76 billion would be wagered during the Super Bowl. The next major betting event in American sports is March Madness, which will begin in less than a month-and-a-half.
