Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow has stormed into the lead in NFL MVP odds after four straight weeks scoring at least four total touchdowns.
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen dropped to second after a pedestrian showing against the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football.
- Burrow produced 18 touchdowns and three interceptions in his last four games.
- Allen threw one touchdown pass and an interception in Monday's win over the Vikings.
- Sportsbooks are totally split over how to handle Caleb Williams.
Burrow's consistency continued in Madrid in Week 9, and his MVP line has moved from +450 to +185.
| Player | bet365 | DraftKings | FanDuel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | +185 | +210 | +200 |
| Josh Allen | +240 | +240 | +300 |
| Brock Purdy | +450 | +425 | +400 |
| Jordan Love | +650 | +650 | +700 |
| Trevor Lawrence | +800 | +900 | +600 |
| Caleb Williams | +1,200 | +1,600 | +5,000 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | +2,500 | +5,500 | +7,500 |
| Jared Goff | +3,000 | +4,500 | +5,000 |
| Patrick Mahomes | +4,000 | +3,000 | +4,000 |
| Drake Maye | +7,500 | +4,500 | +6,000 |
The NFL MVP race has seen major changes and split opinions. Even now, bet365 has Jahmyr Gibbs as low as +2,500, while FanDuel only lists him at +7,500.
bet365 and DraftKings are also showing much more support for Caleb Williams than FanDuel, while FanDuel is the only sportsbook listing Trevor Lawrence ahead of Jordan Love.
Despite those disagreements, oddsmakers unanimously agree that Burrow is in pole position to claim his first MVP trophy. The leap into first place comes on the heels of his 278-yard, four-touchdown performance in the Bengals’ 34-17 win over the Atlanta Falcons in Spain on Sunday.
9️⃣ TO 5️⃣ #CINatATL on NFL Network https://t.co/Ln0ZU26h8k
— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) November 8, 2026
Burrow is no stranger to putting up massive numbers. He topped out at 4,918 yards, 43 touchdowns, and nine interceptions in 2024, ultimately coming in fourth in MVP voting.
After nine weeks of the regular season, Burrow racked up 2,386 passing yards (second), 23 passing touchdowns (first), three rushing touchdowns, six interceptions, and a career-best 74% completion rate. The Bengals are tied for the best record in the AFC North at 6-2 and will face their co-leaders, the Pittsburgh Steelers, on Sunday. DraftKings favors the Bengals by 3.5 points in that Sunday Night Football matchup.
“Joe Burrow continues to light up the board in every game they are playing. Josh Allen’s performance on Monday Night will determine who will be the favorite going into next week.” Joey Feazel, Head of Football at Caesars Sportsbook.
Allen spent more time leading the MVP race than any other player, although he’s now fallen to a consensus second across top sportsbooks. He has 2,027 passing yards (12th), 12 passing touchdowns (t-15th), six interceptions, 285 rushing yards, and nine rushing TDs for the 7-1 Buffalo Bills.
FIRST CAREER TOUCHDOWN FOR KELEKI LATU!!!! 📺: ESPN https://t.co/Bej42ZbtP8
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) November 10, 2026
Who else is in contention?
Quarterbacks Brock Purdy, Jordan Love and Trevor Lawrence are all firmly in the MVP mix with odds ranging from +450 (18.2% implied chance) to +900 (10% chance).
Williams and Gibbs are in a relative “no-man’s land,” each for different reasons.
Williams missed three games because of injury and just threw four interceptions in his last outing, which somehow ended in a victory for his Chicago Bears. But at the same time, he’s largely been in complete control of what has been an excellent offense for a team that is fourth in Super Bowl odds at FanDuel. His odds range of +1,200 to +5,000 represents a difference in implied likelihood of 7.7% to 2%.
Gibbs is this year’s top non-quarterback option to win an award that has not been given to anyone at a position other than quarterback since 2012. He leads the league in carries (177), is third in rushing yards (847), tied for second in rushing TDs (nine), and is ninth in yards per carry (4.8). He also caught 34 passes for 285 yards and two scores.
Gibbs takes the fourth-down toss for six! https://t.co/0mNX8r98Qg
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) November 8, 2026
There’s a tight cluster of quarterbacks in the next tier of contenders, including Mahomes, Goff, Maye, and C.J. Stroud.
Running back Kenneth Walker III has odds ranging from +4,000 at bet365 to +17,500 at FanDuel. Wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba is as low as +5,000 at bet365 and as long as +17,500 at FanDuel.
