Masters Predictions: Nick Taylor is a Tantalizing Longshot at Augusta National

The Masters is back, promising captivating moments on Augusta National's iconic greens. Fans eagerly await the clash of golf's elite, as players vie for the coveted Green Jacket and a place in history. With the beauty of spring setting the stage and the world's top talents ready to showcase their skills, the return of the Masters signifies a renewed celebration of the sport and its timeless traditions.

One of those traditions, of course, is finding the best value on the Masters odds board. That means looking past the usual suspects like Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Xander Schauffele, as well as past winners like Tiger Woods, Dustin Johnson, and Patrick Reed. Fortunately for you, we've already done the hard work and have identified one below-the-radar duffer you should strongly consider: Nick Taylor.

Find out why we're zeroing in on the Canadian golfer in our Masters picks and predcitions below.

Sportsbooks can't agree on Taylor

There's a gigantic gap in the available odds for Taylor, with FanDuel hanging a monster +27,000 number compared to the +15,000 bet365 price. The four-time PGA Tour winner finished T29 in his lone Masters appearance during the 2020 fall event and his career trajectory has been straight up since.

Because this is more of a value bet based on the numbers, I’m recommending a small wager (0.1 units) in the outright market accompanied by betting Taylor to finish Top 40 at +100 through DraftKings with a 0.5 unit bet as complements to your Masters betting portfolio. 

Taylor is a worthy longshot 

While Taylor is the definition of a flier ahead of the 2024 Masters, he’s still doing a lot right heading into the event with true strokes gained on approach in each tournament this season and true strokes gained putting in seven of nine.

Taylor has rattled off 15 Top 40s across his past 26 events, which includes victories at the Canadian Open last summer and the WM Phoenix Open in February. Additionally, he ranks seventh in true strokes gained putting and eighth in true strokes gained on approaches in this field across his past 31 measured rounds. Solid approach play paves the way for scoring opportunities at Augusta National, and Taylor can roll the rock with the best.

And for good measure, the difference in the +27,000 FanDuel odds and +15,000 bet365 price is a titanic positive expected value of 90%. This is also a perfect example of why shopping for the best numbers is one of the easiest ways to find an edge.

Pick: Nick Taylor to win outright (+27,000 at FanDuel, 0.1 units)
Pick: Nick Taylor Top 40 (+100 at DraftKings, 0.5 units)

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