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    All Forums | WNBA

    The last 15 wnba games have all gone under the total

    sshake1963
    guyhopestowin
    ZipYourLib
    fm1972
    jimmynmail
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 700
    Posts: 24
     
    sshake1963
    sshake1963
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    Posted: Aug. 16, 2026 - 10:59 PM ET #1

    I'm guessing the books and bettors are in the process of driving down the totals of upcoming games.

    Those lines might appear lower than expected, and I wouldn't be surprised if there is a swing back to the OVERS hitting quite frequently in upcoming games.

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    I'm guessing the books and bettors are in the process of driving down the totals of upcoming games.

    Those lines might appear lower than expected, and I wouldn't be surprised if there is a swing back to the OVERS hitting quite frequently in upcoming games.

     
    guyhopestowin
    guyhopestowin
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 1:26 AM ET #2

    even 2nd half totals go under

     

    fever dream game went over with overtime, I have never seen such a swift turn to averages on consecutive bets like this

     

    I think the totals kept too high, and this ladies are coming down to earth

     

    total around 180s even for fire, tempo games 190s are too high

    Reply

    even 2nd half totals go under

     

    fever dream game went over with overtime, I have never seen such a swift turn to averages on consecutive bets like this

     

    I think the totals kept too high, and this ladies are coming down to earth

     

    total around 180s even for fire, tempo games 190s are too high

     
    sshake1963
    sshake1963
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 1:52 PM ET #3

    @guyhopestowin

     I agree, as long as the totals are kept high, I expect more of a regression to the mean.

    Before this run of 15 consecutive UNDERS, there had been 143 overs and 104 unders up to that point of the season.  That's 58% OVERS, over the course of the first 247 games of the season.  Obviously you expect close to 50% over a large sample size like that!  As you said, a very swift return to average indeed.

    In my original post I thought the OVERS may return if the linesmakers start to bring their opening totals lower, and if bettors drive it lower due to the recent spate of unders. Otherwise, the regression to the mean favors the UNDERS hitting.

    In summary, perhaps a short term bump in OVERS hitting, but over the course of the rest of the season, more UNDERS hitting.

    Reply

    @guyhopestowin

     I agree, as long as the totals are kept high, I expect more of a regression to the mean.

    Before this run of 15 consecutive UNDERS, there had been 143 overs and 104 unders up to that point of the season.  That's 58% OVERS, over the course of the first 247 games of the season.  Obviously you expect close to 50% over a large sample size like that!  As you said, a very swift return to average indeed.

    In my original post I thought the OVERS may return if the linesmakers start to bring their opening totals lower, and if bettors drive it lower due to the recent spate of unders. Otherwise, the regression to the mean favors the UNDERS hitting.

    In summary, perhaps a short term bump in OVERS hitting, but over the course of the rest of the season, more UNDERS hitting.

     
    ZipYourLib
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 3:24 PM ET #4

    @sshake1963

     It appears to be so, I've noticed this too, though I haven't made a rec. of it.  

    What has worked for me as of late in WNBA.  Is if an opening line for u/o is set at 180.5 (and I believe game will go over, yet starts to fail later in match) and then during the mid to late 4TH Qrt Live-Bet-Action total is now set at around 167-172'ish for the u/o, it seems I'll usually then hit the "over" when I place a wager.    

    The same applies for the "under/s." If I believe a game will fall under a certain set total before game starts e.g: 185, yet by mid'ish 4th Qrt on Live-Bet it's now set to 197'ish - now if I take the "under" (granted no OT) my under wager will now most likely hit than not.  

    Just sharing some insight and how I've been playing.  That said, if one believes they're going to lose on a totals play, or at least want to hedge or double up to retain their profit, it's just something for a person to keep an eye out on..  

     

    If it don't make Dollars it don't make Cents
    Reply

    @sshake1963

     It appears to be so, I've noticed this too, though I haven't made a rec. of it.  

    What has worked for me as of late in WNBA.  Is if an opening line for u/o is set at 180.5 (and I believe game will go over, yet starts to fail later in match) and then during the mid to late 4TH Qrt Live-Bet-Action total is now set at around 167-172'ish for the u/o, it seems I'll usually then hit the "over" when I place a wager.    

    The same applies for the "under/s." If I believe a game will fall under a certain set total before game starts e.g: 185, yet by mid'ish 4th Qrt on Live-Bet it's now set to 197'ish - now if I take the "under" (granted no OT) my under wager will now most likely hit than not.  

    Just sharing some insight and how I've been playing.  That said, if one believes they're going to lose on a totals play, or at least want to hedge or double up to retain their profit, it's just something for a person to keep an eye out on..  

     

     
    fm1972
    fm1972
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 9:04 PM ET #5

    Bet the UNDERS tonight will it's a LOCK

    Reply

    Bet the UNDERS tonight will it's a LOCK

     
    jimmynmail
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 9:54 PM ET #6

    @fm1972

     lol lock that means opposite 

    Reply

    @fm1972

     lol lock that means opposite 

     
    fm1972
    fm1972
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 11:04 PM ET #7

    Lmfao yes opposite JIMMYAZZ

    Reply

    Lmfao yes opposite JIMMYAZZ

     
    fm1972
    fm1972
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 11:05 PM ET #8

    Jimmy can you read 15 games went unders go back to school and learn how to read

    Reply

    Jimmy can you read 15 games went unders go back to school and learn how to read

     
    ayashifx55
    ayashifx55
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 11:06 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by jimmynmail:

    @fm1972  lol lock that means opposite

    i don’t know about FG but I took FH under, thank you @fm1972

    What about half time? Still under ? It’s at 154 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by jimmynmail:

    @fm1972  lol lock that means opposite

    i don’t know about FG but I took FH under, thank you @fm1972

    What about half time? Still under ? It’s at 154 

     
    fm1972
    fm1972
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 11:07 PM ET #10

    Me too make that money an_cheers

    Reply

    Me too make that money an_cheers

     
    ayashifx55
    ayashifx55
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 11:08 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by fm1972:

    Me too make that money

    you’re playing halftime? 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fm1972:

    Me too make that money

    you’re playing halftime? 

     
    fm1972
    fm1972
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 11:09 PM ET #12

    Yes unders

    Reply

    Yes unders

     
    ayashifx55
    ayashifx55
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 11:10 PM ET #13

    @fm1972

     Bol

    Reply

    @fm1972

     Bol

     
    fm1972
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 11:11 PM ET #14

    And dallas for small 

    Reply

    And dallas for small 

     
    fm1972
    fm1972
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 11:12 PM ET #15

    Dallas +17.5

    Reply

    Dallas +17.5

     
    ZipYourLib
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 11:38 PM ET #16

    @fm1972

     Well, the Valks have been known to drop any game leading into the 4TH like bad fock'n habit..

    If it don't make Dollars it don't make Cents
    Reply

    @fm1972

     Well, the Valks have been known to drop any game leading into the 4TH like bad fock'n habit..

     
    ayashifx55
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2026 - 11:55 PM ET #17

    @ZipYourLib

     Next time you play wings let me know , I know that valkeries or aces or wings likes to choke in 4th Q but that’s only against stronger teams. If it was the cons or whatever, they would pound them

    Reply

    @ZipYourLib

     Next time you play wings let me know , I know that valkeries or aces or wings likes to choke in 4th Q but that’s only against stronger teams. If it was the cons or whatever, they would pound them

     
    ZipYourLib
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2026 - 12:07 AM ET #18

    @ayashifx55

     

     You just check the "Score Board" and WHAT I just mentioned 40min. ago, and what I had said fock'n rings TRUE..!  (',

    If it don't make Dollars it don't make Cents
    Reply

    @ayashifx55

     

     You just check the "Score Board" and WHAT I just mentioned 40min. ago, and what I had said fock'n rings TRUE..!  (',

     
    ayashifx55
    ayashifx55
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2026 - 12:10 AM ET #19

    Holy fck, they have been scoring non stop for the past damn last 2 mins 

    Reply

    Holy fck, they have been scoring non stop for the past damn last 2 mins 

     
    ayashifx55
    ayashifx55
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2026 - 12:15 AM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by fm1972:

    Yes unders

    damn let’s goooo. peace_5 The last 2 mins was ridiculous. They scored fcking 20 pts+ 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fm1972:

    Yes unders

    damn let’s goooo. peace_5 The last 2 mins was ridiculous. They scored fcking 20 pts+ 

     
    ZipYourLib
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2026 - 12:16 AM ET #21

    @ayashifx55

     ..fock'n dUh..!!  You have to know when to take the retarded teams.   ('.

    If it don't make Dollars it don't make Cents
    Reply

    @ayashifx55

     ..fock'n dUh..!!  You have to know when to take the retarded teams.   ('.

     
    ayashifx55
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2026 - 12:17 AM ET #22

    @ZipYourLib

     Still crazy!

    Reply

    @ZipYourLib

     Still crazy!

     
    ZipYourLib
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2026 - 12:18 AM ET #23

    @fm1972

     

     Yesh, it worked out good.  At times, one has to let the game play out to garner pnts a bit, then nab them quick in Live-Bet..!!   (',

    If it don't make Dollars it don't make Cents
    Reply

    @fm1972

     

     Yesh, it worked out good.  At times, one has to let the game play out to garner pnts a bit, then nab them quick in Live-Bet..!!   (',

     
     
    ZipYourLib
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2026 - 12:21 AM ET #24

    @ayashifx55

     That it is.  Yet, we know "cRAzy" happens when most least expect it to..   an_police

    If it don't make Dollars it don't make Cents
    Reply

    @ayashifx55

     That it is.  Yet, we know "cRAzy" happens when most least expect it to..   an_police

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