2026-08-11 - Gazoo

Phoenix Mercury @ Los Angeles Sparks

• Phoenix Mercury (12-22): Phoenix's offense takes a massive hit with their primary perimeter scorer sidelined. Over their last 10 games, Phoenix has struggled with offensive consistency, relying heavily on isolation scoring that collapses without their primary creator.

• Los Angeles Sparks (12-19): Playing at home, the Sparks hold a rest and continuity advantage. LA has been steady in secondary transition points over their past 10 games and matches up well against a weakened Phoenix backcourt.

• Phoenix Mercury: Kelsey Plum (G) is OUT with a lower left leg/calf injury suffered against Washington. Natasha Mack (F/C) is Day-to-Day (foot).

• Los Angeles Sparks: Monique Akoa Makani (G) is Day-to-Day (ankle).

Without Kelsey Plum’s 22+ PPG production and shot creation, Phoenix lacks the offensive firepower to keep pace on the road. Expect LA to control the tempo, dominate the glass, and cover comfortably.

• Predicted Final Score: Los Angeles Sparks 84, Phoenix Mercury 74

• Pick Prediction: UNDER 177.5
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I love the unders without plum

One of my favorite picks is 2qtr under 45.5 if the 1st qtr goes over that mark. It works well with better defensive teams vs power offensives like the Fever and Lynx.