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tracking Closing Line Value against Kalshi's prediction-market

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Prospect
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Joined: Jun, 2026
Posts: 2
Posted: #1

Been tracking Closing Line Value against Kalshi's prediction-market pricing as a fair-value anchor instead of the usual sportsbook consensus. Since Jun 16, 2026: 688W-535L (56.3% win rate), avg CLV +7.3%
Last 30 days: 688W-535L (56.3% win rate), avg CLV +7.0% — every graded pick posted publicly, losses included.

Curious if anyone else here uses prediction markets (Kalshi, Polymarket) as a fair-value cross-check against book lines rather than just line-shopping across books. What's your read on Kalshi's liquidity for this?

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