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    NHL Home Chase

    «First Previous 91011 ... 212223 Next Last»
    smitler
    PokherPlayher
    xxMARTINIxx
    Szpunar
    MontanaMax
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    «First Previous 91011 ... 212223 Next Last»
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Jan. 31, 2010 - 8:32 PM ET #201

    I was wrong as usual. TB covered against WAS.
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    I was wrong as usual. TB covered against WAS.
     
    PokherPlayher
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2010 - 1:32 PM ET #202

    eek.  Canes worst road team, yet fave by a small bit.  scared to see the vig on the PL.  stay away from them considering theyre the worst road team? OR, play the PL and risk an absurd amount only cuz theyre playing Edm who's on a terrible losing streak....hmmm..
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    eek.  Canes worst road team, yet fave by a small bit.  scared to see the vig on the PL.  stay away from them considering theyre the worst road team? OR, play the PL and risk an absurd amount only cuz theyre playing Edm who's on a terrible losing streak....hmmm..
     
    xxMARTINIxx
    xxMARTINIxx
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2010 - 1:53 PM ET #203

    Smitler- Since pittsburgh home for 3 games, tonight the 3rd home game, pick them for SU win over Buffalo?? Thanks
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    Smitler- Since pittsburgh home for 3 games, tonight the 3rd home game, pick them for SU win over Buffalo?? Thanks
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2010 - 2:44 PM ET #204

    PIT beat DET yesterday. All chases complete.
    CAR not a play on these sytems.
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    PIT beat DET yesterday. All chases complete.
    CAR not a play on these sytems.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2010 - 2:49 PM ET #205

    Two plays for me tonight.
    B ANA pl / FLA
    B PHI pl / CGY
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    Two plays for me tonight.
    B ANA pl / FLA
    B PHI pl / CGY
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2010 - 2:52 PM ET #206


    spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html
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    spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tU1bm-tnxs54EnGibSt7yrQ&output=html
     
    xxMARTINIxx
    xxMARTINIxx
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2010 - 5:51 PM ET #207

    Whats your leans on Pitts, and Calgary game then today? Thanks
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    Whats your leans on Pitts, and Calgary game then today? Thanks
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2010 - 6:00 PM ET #208

    PIT under
    PHI pl
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    PIT under
    PHI pl
     
    Szpunar
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2010 - 2:17 AM ET #209

    Smitler,

    been playing your AJM plays since Dec.1 and the Kangy O/U system as well.  This have been very profitable as you well know.  However, since the Kangy system seems to be hitting a bit of a speedbump "as he said it would", I'm interested in trying the 1.0, 3.0, or the 3.1 system.  I'm not a big $ amount better so I will probably just try one of them.  The record for the 3.0 is best of course but the 1.0 and 3.0 allow more plays.  Since you seem like the patriarch of these systems, I will trust your opinion on which one is best to play.

    Also, I studied the spreadsheet you posted and I had a difficult time understanding certain aspects.  Is there perhaps a place where all these plays are posted prior to face-off? If not, a basic understanding of the 3 versions of the systems would be greatly appreciated.

    Thank you in advance!

    We all appreciate what you are doing here my friend, keep up the good work.

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    Smitler,

    been playing your AJM plays since Dec.1 and the Kangy O/U system as well.  This have been very profitable as you well know.  However, since the Kangy system seems to be hitting a bit of a speedbump "as he said it would", I'm interested in trying the 1.0, 3.0, or the 3.1 system.  I'm not a big $ amount better so I will probably just try one of them.  The record for the 3.0 is best of course but the 1.0 and 3.0 allow more plays.  Since you seem like the patriarch of these systems, I will trust your opinion on which one is best to play.

    Also, I studied the spreadsheet you posted and I had a difficult time understanding certain aspects.  Is there perhaps a place where all these plays are posted prior to face-off? If not, a basic understanding of the 3 versions of the systems would be greatly appreciated.

    Thank you in advance!

    We all appreciate what you are doing here my friend, keep up the good work.

     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2010 - 11:22 AM ET #210

    Quote Originally Posted by Szpunar:

    Smitler,

    been playing your AJM plays since Dec.1 and the Kangy O/U system as well.  This have been very profitable as you well know.  However, since the Kangy system seems to be hitting a bit of a speedbump "as he said it would", I'm interested in trying the 1.0, 3.0, or the 3.1 system.  I'm not a big $ amount better so I will probably just try one of them.  The record for the 3.0 is best of course but the 1.0 and 3.0 allow more plays.  Since you seem like the patriarch of these systems, I will trust your opinion on which one is best to play.

    Also, I studied the spreadsheet you posted and I had a difficult time understanding certain aspects.  Is there perhaps a place where all these plays are posted prior to face-off? If not, a basic understanding of the 3 versions of the systems would be greatly appreciated.

    Thank you in advance!

    We all appreciate what you are doing here my friend, keep up the good work.



    Option 1.1 just expands on 1.0. If a chase wins and there are 3 or more home games left. A new chase is started to go for another win.
    Same with option 2.0/2.1 and 3.0/3.1
    Some people might say your pushing your luck and only play 1.0, 2.0, and/or 3.0.
    I play 1.1 and 3.1.
    If you go back a page or two it explains what each system is.
    I don't get involved with money mangement because that's a personal choice whether you Labby (crossout), Martingale, or flat bet them.

    I will post a new update in here after Feb. 6.  Boston has 1 more home game to get a win to close out January.

    On the spreadsheet you only need to be looking at the "FEB Plays" sheet.  Those are plays for Option 1.0 and 1.1 (HML or HPL) and Option 3.0 and 3.1 (RPL).
    Look at that sheet and if there is something you don't understand I will clarify. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Szpunar:

    Smitler,

    been playing your AJM plays since Dec.1 and the Kangy O/U system as well.  This have been very profitable as you well know.  However, since the Kangy system seems to be hitting a bit of a speedbump "as he said it would", I'm interested in trying the 1.0, 3.0, or the 3.1 system.  I'm not a big $ amount better so I will probably just try one of them.  The record for the 3.0 is best of course but the 1.0 and 3.0 allow more plays.  Since you seem like the patriarch of these systems, I will trust your opinion on which one is best to play.

    Also, I studied the spreadsheet you posted and I had a difficult time understanding certain aspects.  Is there perhaps a place where all these plays are posted prior to face-off? If not, a basic understanding of the 3 versions of the systems would be greatly appreciated.

    Thank you in advance!

    We all appreciate what you are doing here my friend, keep up the good work.



    Option 1.1 just expands on 1.0. If a chase wins and there are 3 or more home games left. A new chase is started to go for another win.
    Same with option 2.0/2.1 and 3.0/3.1
    Some people might say your pushing your luck and only play 1.0, 2.0, and/or 3.0.
    I play 1.1 and 3.1.
    If you go back a page or two it explains what each system is.
    I don't get involved with money mangement because that's a personal choice whether you Labby (crossout), Martingale, or flat bet them.

    I will post a new update in here after Feb. 6.  Boston has 1 more home game to get a win to close out January.

    On the spreadsheet you only need to be looking at the "FEB Plays" sheet.  Those are plays for Option 1.0 and 1.1 (HML or HPL) and Option 3.0 and 3.1 (RPL).
    Look at that sheet and if there is something you don't understand I will clarify. 
     
    xxMARTINIxx
    xxMARTINIxx
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2010 - 6:39 PM ET #211

    Any leans on Calgary and Florida?
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    Any leans on Calgary and Florida?
     
    Szpunar
    Szpunar
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2010 - 8:09 PM ET #212

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



    Option 1.1 just expands on 1.0. If a chase wins and there are 3 or more home games left. A new chase is started to go for another win.
    Same with option 2.0/2.1 and 3.0/3.1
    Some people might say your pushing your luck and only play 1.0, 2.0, and/or 3.0.
    I play 1.1 and 3.1.
    If you go back a page or two it explains what each system is.
    I don't get involved with money mangement because that's a personal choice whether you Labby (crossout), Martingale, or flat bet them.

    I will post a new update in here after Feb. 6.  Boston has 1 more home game to get a win to close out January.

    On the spreadsheet you only need to be looking at the "FEB Plays" sheet.  Those are plays for Option 1.0 and 1.1 (HML or HPL) and Option 3.0 and 3.1 (RPL).
    Look at that sheet and if there is something you don't understand I will clarify. 

    Alright brother, lets see if I got this figured out!

    Soooooooooo, starting Feb. 6 you have 3 new series because MINN, TB ,and CLB all won straight up on the 4th at home.  The next 3 games for each (MINN, TB, and CLB) are at home "which is necessary to start a new chase".  If lets say MINN only had 2 more games at home after a win (at home) you would not start a series.

    Ok..........pretty sure I got it, right?

    Now,  if you play 1.1 you bet the home team to win (HML) or (HPL) if underdog.  If you play 3.1 you take the road team on the puck line (RPL).

    So, if it's an [A,B,C] chase, then on the A bet you essentially take both sides, just like you do with the NBA JM/AJM system, and then bet B & C accordingly.

    Do I got her all fingered out man?

    Thanks again man!

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



    Option 1.1 just expands on 1.0. If a chase wins and there are 3 or more home games left. A new chase is started to go for another win.
    Same with option 2.0/2.1 and 3.0/3.1
    Some people might say your pushing your luck and only play 1.0, 2.0, and/or 3.0.
    I play 1.1 and 3.1.
    If you go back a page or two it explains what each system is.
    I don't get involved with money mangement because that's a personal choice whether you Labby (crossout), Martingale, or flat bet them.

    I will post a new update in here after Feb. 6.  Boston has 1 more home game to get a win to close out January.

    On the spreadsheet you only need to be looking at the "FEB Plays" sheet.  Those are plays for Option 1.0 and 1.1 (HML or HPL) and Option 3.0 and 3.1 (RPL).
    Look at that sheet and if there is something you don't understand I will clarify. 

    Alright brother, lets see if I got this figured out!

    Soooooooooo, starting Feb. 6 you have 3 new series because MINN, TB ,and CLB all won straight up on the 4th at home.  The next 3 games for each (MINN, TB, and CLB) are at home "which is necessary to start a new chase".  If lets say MINN only had 2 more games at home after a win (at home) you would not start a series.

    Ok..........pretty sure I got it, right?

    Now,  if you play 1.1 you bet the home team to win (HML) or (HPL) if underdog.  If you play 3.1 you take the road team on the puck line (RPL).

    So, if it's an [A,B,C] chase, then on the A bet you essentially take both sides, just like you do with the NBA JM/AJM system, and then bet B & C accordingly.

    Do I got her all fingered out man?

    Thanks again man!

     

     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2010 - 11:07 PM ET #213

    You got it.  
    Thanks for pointing out the new/second chases.  I had them listed on one sheet, but not the other. Its updated now.

    Don't forget MON and COL start tomorrow too.

    Be careful with the long home stands.  About once a month it takes four or five games to hit the chase.  It adds up quick with that juice.
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    You got it.  
    Thanks for pointing out the new/second chases.  I had them listed on one sheet, but not the other. Its updated now.

    Don't forget MON and COL start tomorrow too.

    Be careful with the long home stands.  About once a month it takes four or five games to hit the chase.  It adds up quick with that juice.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2010 - 5:55 PM ET #214

    Record for chase options starting in January. Last one ended Feb. 6.
    1.0:  32-2
    1.1:  52-2

    2.0:  28-5
    2.1:  36-5

    3.0:  31-0
    3.1:  37-0

    Results of all three systems since season start through Feb. 6:
    System requirement is 3 or more game home stand.
    You decide your own money management style.

    Option 1.0: 113-6  Chase home team to win or PL if dog
    Option 1.1: 169-9  New chase after win if 3 or more games remain 


    Option 2.0: 104-14    Chase road team ML
    Option 2.1: 142-19  New chase after win if 3 or more games remain

    Option 3.0: 114-1  Chase road team PL
    Option 3.1: 164-1  New chase after win if 3 or more games remain
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    Record for chase options starting in January. Last one ended Feb. 6.
    1.0:  32-2
    1.1:  52-2

    2.0:  28-5
    2.1:  36-5

    3.0:  31-0
    3.1:  37-0

    Results of all three systems since season start through Feb. 6:
    System requirement is 3 or more game home stand.
    You decide your own money management style.

    Option 1.0: 113-6  Chase home team to win or PL if dog
    Option 1.1: 169-9  New chase after win if 3 or more games remain 


    Option 2.0: 104-14    Chase road team ML
    Option 2.1: 142-19  New chase after win if 3 or more games remain

    Option 3.0: 114-1  Chase road team PL
    Option 3.1: 164-1  New chase after win if 3 or more games remain
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 7, 2010 - 9:52 AM ET #215

    February record through the 6th.
    1.0:   7-0
    1.1: 10-0

    2.0:  1-1 (5 chases pending)
    2.1:  same as 2.0

    3.0:  2-0 (2 chases pending)
    3.1   2-0 (3 chase pending)

    No plays Sunday.
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    February record through the 6th.
    1.0:   7-0
    1.1: 10-0

    2.0:  1-1 (5 chases pending)
    2.1:  same as 2.0

    3.0:  2-0 (2 chases pending)
    3.1   2-0 (3 chase pending)

    No plays Sunday.
     
    MontanaMax
    MontanaMax
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    Posted: Feb. 7, 2010 - 1:38 PM ET #216

    I haven't been around much of all lately but good work simtler.......

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    I haven't been around much of all lately but good work simtler.......

     
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 7, 2010 - 1:41 PM ET #217

    Montana you been doing any of that forex stuff?  I want to get into it but wonder how time consuming it is.
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    Montana you been doing any of that forex stuff?  I want to get into it but wonder how time consuming it is.
     
    Szpunar
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2010 - 7:49 PM ET #218

    Hey Smitler, wanted to make sure i'm playing this correct.  Tonight for the 3.3 option you would take STL +1.5 (-270)?

     

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    Hey Smitler, wanted to make sure i'm playing this correct.  Tonight for the 3.3 option you would take STL +1.5 (-270)?

     

     
    Szpunar
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2010 - 7:49 PM ET #219

    sorry 3.1 option
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    sorry 3.1 option
     
    MontanaMax
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2010 - 10:27 PM ET #220

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    Montana you been doing any of that forex stuff?  I want to get into it but wonder how time consuming it is.



    Thx for asking
    I wish man........
    Work accompanied with the bullsh%t of life have kept me from manning my battle stations with that and recently have got in the way of my wagering plans causing to take some time off for a while
    Depends how you want to look at
    If you have an idea of what's what there are ways to just put minutes in per day to set your entry and exit points whether you plan to intraday, day, or swing trade. Your automatic stop / limit levels take care of the rest literally while you're sleeping. Nothing waking up to see more loot in your account from the night before when you fell asleep
    For me personally its like hitting up the gym. I gotta warm up before I hit the weights heavy
    Just me though....... Probably take a few weeks to knock the rust off, set up a game plan, get caught up to speed news wise, get an account going, etc.... Everyone is different though
    Its most important to have a plan of attack
    My ways are to get into the game slowly and getting a feel for the markets through mad different angles
    Yes that takes more time but if its our friend and not our enemy, then we're cool
    Just like a balloon, if you squeeze it at one end it will expand at the other end
    Through the fundamentals as above ( by trading off the new of the day ) it takes more time to be involved and have a plan of attack
    On the plus there is so much more opportunity for profits cause of all the international news going on 24-7 6 days a week in the forex along with knowing how the other financial markets, geo-political news,  and weather trends can all effect the forex market.
    Utilizing certain software, websites, networking with other people, can also save you a lot of time for technical analysis style by placing your trades through reading the charts alone without the news of the day through fundamental analysis
    If you want go check out bucknuts over at investment forum and he'll be glad to help you along your way in which you seek by investing little time to make some loot.
    I think too he's got a somewhat simple strategy just be reading off the charts and from there placing his trades.
    No need to be intimidated by a new avenue of making money
    It took time but I taught myself and still have way more to learn just as I am with sports betting.
    And money management wise its a lot like sports betting with your BR. Only its all about levering, and the % of your portfolio at play
    If you want, you can friend me and / or bucknuts up so  we can PM you by some websites with plenty of info to learn with and great forums like this here where just as we are on the same page here against the books - cats in these forums are all on the same page in forex trading and making money any way you think of
    Great resources but respecting the policy here its not allowed to publicly post them up which I respect.
    He might have them posted up in his thread somewhere or at least prior months threads or something, he knows

    At the end of the day its great of you to ask and I appreciate it
    We're all in the same boat here with the same mission
    Hopefully on the side you can slowly and correctly get your feet wet over time and then you can add the forex game to your arsenal in bringing home the bacon
    The more, the merrier......... You'll love it, its like crack
    Let me know what's up if you're still interested



    ..................
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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    Montana you been doing any of that forex stuff?  I want to get into it but wonder how time consuming it is.



    Thx for asking
    I wish man........
    Work accompanied with the bullsh%t of life have kept me from manning my battle stations with that and recently have got in the way of my wagering plans causing to take some time off for a while
    Depends how you want to look at
    If you have an idea of what's what there are ways to just put minutes in per day to set your entry and exit points whether you plan to intraday, day, or swing trade. Your automatic stop / limit levels take care of the rest literally while you're sleeping. Nothing waking up to see more loot in your account from the night before when you fell asleep
    For me personally its like hitting up the gym. I gotta warm up before I hit the weights heavy
    Just me though....... Probably take a few weeks to knock the rust off, set up a game plan, get caught up to speed news wise, get an account going, etc.... Everyone is different though
    Its most important to have a plan of attack
    My ways are to get into the game slowly and getting a feel for the markets through mad different angles
    Yes that takes more time but if its our friend and not our enemy, then we're cool
    Just like a balloon, if you squeeze it at one end it will expand at the other end
    Through the fundamentals as above ( by trading off the new of the day ) it takes more time to be involved and have a plan of attack
    On the plus there is so much more opportunity for profits cause of all the international news going on 24-7 6 days a week in the forex along with knowing how the other financial markets, geo-political news,  and weather trends can all effect the forex market.
    Utilizing certain software, websites, networking with other people, can also save you a lot of time for technical analysis style by placing your trades through reading the charts alone without the news of the day through fundamental analysis
    If you want go check out bucknuts over at investment forum and he'll be glad to help you along your way in which you seek by investing little time to make some loot.
    I think too he's got a somewhat simple strategy just be reading off the charts and from there placing his trades.
    No need to be intimidated by a new avenue of making money
    It took time but I taught myself and still have way more to learn just as I am with sports betting.
    And money management wise its a lot like sports betting with your BR. Only its all about levering, and the % of your portfolio at play
    If you want, you can friend me and / or bucknuts up so  we can PM you by some websites with plenty of info to learn with and great forums like this here where just as we are on the same page here against the books - cats in these forums are all on the same page in forex trading and making money any way you think of
    Great resources but respecting the policy here its not allowed to publicly post them up which I respect.
    He might have them posted up in his thread somewhere or at least prior months threads or something, he knows

    At the end of the day its great of you to ask and I appreciate it
    We're all in the same boat here with the same mission
    Hopefully on the side you can slowly and correctly get your feet wet over time and then you can add the forex game to your arsenal in bringing home the bacon
    The more, the merrier......... You'll love it, its like crack
    Let me know what's up if you're still interested



    ..................
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2010 - 12:56 AM ET #221

    Quote Originally Posted by Szpunar:

    Hey Smitler, wanted to make sure i'm playing this correct.  Tonight for the 3.3 option you would take STL +1.5 (-270)?

     



    Unfortunately you are right. Hope you skipped that side.
    Look at the bright side, COL won the 1st game of the second chase to make that PL loss not sting as bad. Hope you did bet that side.

    Just going off possible flashbacks, there are three teams that seem to kick ass at home (COL, WAS, and DET).
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    Quote Originally Posted by Szpunar:

    Hey Smitler, wanted to make sure i'm playing this correct.  Tonight for the 3.3 option you would take STL +1.5 (-270)?

     



    Unfortunately you are right. Hope you skipped that side.
    Look at the bright side, COL won the 1st game of the second chase to make that PL loss not sting as bad. Hope you did bet that side.

    Just going off possible flashbacks, there are three teams that seem to kick ass at home (COL, WAS, and DET).
     
    Szpunar
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2010 - 1:37 AM ET #222

    nope it stings!

    unfortunatly I decided to start playing the system tonight and decided to just play the 3.1 option.  I passed on the 1.1 option.  it doesn't sting to bad though, just a small play.  With my luck at hockey last week (Kangy system), I don't know maybe it's wise to stick to NBA till after the olyimpic break and just bag the hockey.  The Kangy system put a drastic dent in my bankroll along with the damn Suns, and with the juice so high on the 3.1 system maybe I should wait till I build my roll again.  I would hate to miss out on some profit here though????  I'm a lilttle spun man trying to figure out which route is best.  Thanks again man!

     

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    nope it stings!

    unfortunatly I decided to start playing the system tonight and decided to just play the 3.1 option.  I passed on the 1.1 option.  it doesn't sting to bad though, just a small play.  With my luck at hockey last week (Kangy system), I don't know maybe it's wise to stick to NBA till after the olyimpic break and just bag the hockey.  The Kangy system put a drastic dent in my bankroll along with the damn Suns, and with the juice so high on the 3.1 system maybe I should wait till I build my roll again.  I would hate to miss out on some profit here though????  I'm a lilttle spun man trying to figure out which route is best.  Thanks again man!

     

     
    Szpunar
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2010 - 6:18 PM ET #223

    Plays for tonight

    1.0 option:  Fla @ [Car] -125 (HML)

    3.0 option:  [Fla] @ Car -285 (RPL)

     

    1.0 option:  Det @ [Stl]  -265 (HPL)

    2.0 option:  [Det] @ Stl  -135 (RML)

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    Plays for tonight

    1.0 option:  Fla @ [Car] -125 (HML)

    3.0 option:  [Fla] @ Car -285 (RPL)

     

    1.0 option:  Det @ [Stl]  -265 (HPL)

    2.0 option:  [Det] @ Stl  -135 (RML)

     
    Szpunar
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2010 - 6:24 PM ET #224

    oops!  messed up writing it up. I would be.............

    1.0 option: Fla @ [Car] -125 (HML)

    3.0 option: [Fla] @ Car +1.5 (RPL)

     

    1.0 option: Det @ [Stl] +1.5 (HPL)

    2.0 option:  [Det] @ Stl  -135 (RML)

     

    I think this is right.  Still trying to wrap my head around it.

     

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    oops!  messed up writing it up. I would be.............

    1.0 option: Fla @ [Car] -125 (HML)

    3.0 option: [Fla] @ Car +1.5 (RPL)

     

    1.0 option: Det @ [Stl] +1.5 (HPL)

    2.0 option:  [Det] @ Stl  -135 (RML)

     

    I think this is right.  Still trying to wrap my head around it.

     

     
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2010 - 6:36 PM ET #225

    1.0 CAR
    3.0 FLA +1.5

    1.0 STL +1.5
    3.0 No Play.  I don't play unless RPL is available
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    1.0 CAR
    3.0 FLA +1.5

    1.0 STL +1.5
    3.0 No Play.  I don't play unless RPL is available
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