I am copying Nabil's MLB post as he describes his "system":
Of all the power ratings out there, one that I highly respect would have to be Teamrankings.com. These guys offer a free listing of all kinds of power ratings in all sports such as home, away, last ten power ratings.
Taking a look at the series which ended yesterday, I figured out which teams had a power rating advantage.
Taking a look at the Tampa Bay / Baltimore series as an example, the away power rating for Tampa Bay was 103.0 and the home power rating for Baltimore was 92.8 giving Tampa Bay a +10.2 advantage (103.0 - 92.8)
He is betting on Teams with a difference of 5 or better as the betting signal...He says it is 70% winner....I will follow to test for a while...
2plays 4/19/10...TB +8... KC 5.7...pending
4/20/10...Pitt ...+7.3
KC...+5.7
Fla...+10.1
Min...+5.8
TB...+9.1
...will follow...
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I am copying Nabil's MLB post as he describes his "system":
Of all the power ratings out there, one that I highly respect would have to be Teamrankings.com. These guys offer a free listing of all kinds of power ratings in all sports such as home, away, last ten power ratings.
Taking a look at the series which ended yesterday, I figured out which teams had a power rating advantage.
Taking a look at the Tampa Bay / Baltimore series as an example, the away power rating for Tampa Bay was 103.0 and the home power rating for Baltimore was 92.8 giving Tampa Bay a +10.2 advantage (103.0 - 92.8)
He is betting on Teams with a difference of 5 or better as the betting signal...He says it is 70% winner....I will follow to test for a while...
"Teams with an advantage of 5.00 or better are given the edge, these teams are expected to win their series meaning they are likely to win 2 games out of 3. Sometimes, teams with an advantage of 5.00 or better sweep their opponent winning all games in the series especially if their advantage is unusually high(a double digit figure)."
Let's see what happens.
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This is not a Chase system but he says...
"Teams with an advantage of 5.00 or better are given the edge, these teams are expected to win their series meaning they are likely to win 2 games out of 3. Sometimes, teams with an advantage of 5.00 or better sweep their opponent winning all games in the series especially if their advantage is unusually high(a double digit figure)."
i am going to follow this system very closely. have you backtested this for any period of games? has it withstood the test of time? see most systems start off promising, but then they catch up with your bankroll and chew you up. Also one last question, where is Nabil's original post about mlb? I would like to read it, and contribute to this forum. Thanks bro
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i am going to follow this system very closely. have you backtested this for any period of games? has it withstood the test of time? see most systems start off promising, but then they catch up with your bankroll and chew you up. Also one last question, where is Nabil's original post about mlb? I would like to read it, and contribute to this forum. Thanks bro
i am going to follow this system very closely. have you backtested this for any period of games? has it withstood the test of time? see most systems start off promising, but then they catch up with your bankroll and chew you up. Also one last question, where is Nabil's original post about mlb? I would like to read it, and contribute to this forum. Thanks bro
Of all the power ratings out there, one that I highly respect would have to be Teamrankings.com. These guys offer a free listing of all kinds of power ratings in all sports such as home, away, last ten power ratings.
Taking a look at the series which ended yesterday, I figured out which teams had a power rating advantage.
Taking a look at the Tampa Bay / Baltimore series as an example, the away power rating for Tampa Bay was 103.0 and the home power rating for Baltimore was 92.8 giving Tampa Bay a +10.2 advantage (103.0 - 92.8)
I figured out the advantages for all the games and this is what I got :
* Chicago Cubs: +8.7
* Philly : +7.1
* St Louis : +6.7
* San Diego : + 0.6
* Cincinnati : +1.5
* San Francisco : +5.1
* Kansas City : +1.5
* Texas : +7.9
* Boston : +0.9
* Seattle : +2.2
* Chicago White Sox : +4.7
* LA Dodgers : +2.1
* Colorado : +9.3
* LA Angels : +0.9
Now the teams with an advantage of 5.00 or better were :
Tampa Bay, Colorado, Chicago Cubs, Philly, St Louis, San Francisco and Texas
These teams won their series with an overall record of 15-6 on the ML or 71.4% regardless of the pitching matchups.
Imagine what you could have done if you actually capped these games to weed out the few losses : 80% or better could have been achieved.
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Quote Originally Posted by rajiv91:
i am going to follow this system very closely. have you backtested this for any period of games? has it withstood the test of time? see most systems start off promising, but then they catch up with your bankroll and chew you up. Also one last question, where is Nabil's original post about mlb? I would like to read it, and contribute to this forum. Thanks bro
Of all the power ratings out there, one that I highly respect would have to be Teamrankings.com. These guys offer a free listing of all kinds of power ratings in all sports such as home, away, last ten power ratings.
Taking a look at the series which ended yesterday, I figured out which teams had a power rating advantage.
Taking a look at the Tampa Bay / Baltimore series as an example, the away power rating for Tampa Bay was 103.0 and the home power rating for Baltimore was 92.8 giving Tampa Bay a +10.2 advantage (103.0 - 92.8)
I figured out the advantages for all the games and this is what I got :
* Chicago Cubs: +8.7
* Philly : +7.1
* St Louis : +6.7
* San Diego : + 0.6
* Cincinnati : +1.5
* San Francisco : +5.1
* Kansas City : +1.5
* Texas : +7.9
* Boston : +0.9
* Seattle : +2.2
* Chicago White Sox : +4.7
* LA Dodgers : +2.1
* Colorado : +9.3
* LA Angels : +0.9
Now the teams with an advantage of 5.00 or better were :
Tampa Bay, Colorado, Chicago Cubs, Philly, St Louis, San Francisco and Texas
These teams won their series with an overall record of 15-6 on the ML or 71.4% regardless of the pitching matchups.
Imagine what you could have done if you actually capped these games to weed out the few losses : 80% or better could have been achieved.
Nabil only uses the rankings to narrow the field to five games. He then caps the games to pick one play a day. His redefined rules are on page 8 of the original thread in the baseball forum. Nabil's record is currently 4-1. His pick today is the Twins.
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Hey gasman,
Nabil only uses the rankings to narrow the field to five games. He then caps the games to pick one play a day. His redefined rules are on page 8 of the original thread in the baseball forum. Nabil's record is currently 4-1. His pick today is the Twins.
We should follow this for a little while as a possible three game chase based on the numbers when the series starts. If there are that many teams that win the series, the chance of losing a 3 game chase would likely be extremely small???
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We should follow this for a little while as a possible three game chase based on the numbers when the series starts. If there are that many teams that win the series, the chance of losing a 3 game chase would likely be extremely small???
We should follow this for a little while as a possible three game chase based on the numbers when the series starts. If there are that many teams that win the series, the chance of losing a 3 game chase would likely be extremely small???
therizz,
You could try to combine something like your "opening day favorite chase" with the series that the ranking produces. This would limit the number of chases to five. Worth a look.
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Quote Originally Posted by therizz:
We should follow this for a little while as a possible three game chase based on the numbers when the series starts. If there are that many teams that win the series, the chance of losing a 3 game chase would likely be extremely small???
therizz,
You could try to combine something like your "opening day favorite chase" with the series that the ranking produces. This would limit the number of chases to five. Worth a look.
I was thinking about using something like this as a filter. I had eliminated TOR as a play this last series in my sweep chase system because of odds higher than 170. Using this system that would have been a play and we would have gotten another win.
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dufresne,
I was thinking about using something like this as a filter. I had eliminated TOR as a play this last series in my sweep chase system because of odds higher than 170. Using this system that would have been a play and we would have gotten another win.
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KC 5.7...pending
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