Posted:
#1626
Nicely done, again. MC to you and to all following!
Falcon Sports (The Grand Challenge)
Posted:
#1630
@MITM
I'm impressed and intrigued with this challenge, and would like to give it a shot as well after football season. My question is this;
How do you get around wager limits at whatever book you use, providing you reach the level of say a wager of 10% on $100,000?
Also, what happens if your book limits your plays due to consistently having a winning record? Would it make sense to split the wager
amongst several different books, providing the odds are the same? Or would it make more sense to cash out and start again once you
reach a certain level? Just curious, I'm really impressed with your math based approach and record.
Posted:
#1631
@Originalsix88
The challenge can only be done in theory, not in the real world. MIT ran the numbers to prove the validity.
If u go (600-400) in any order, after 1000 plays u would be a billionaire. Even if u started (0-400) and then won 600 in a row. Its impossible to reach zero because u are risking 10% of the remaining balance on each play. So this is very very low risk. I just wanted to see how far i could take it.
The problems u present would be great to have, right?
I already spread my wagers around between 6 places.
Another reason its impossible is that no one can hit (60%) Winners over 1000 plays against a (-110) line. Thsts impossible to do.
I'm just taking it one bet at a time and see where this goes.
Its funny, things haven't looked that great lately but the win percentage is right at 60% over the past 27 plays. Funny how spoiled we get.
Falcon Sports
Posted:
#1632
@Originalsix88
Also I won't be here for 1000 plays but u don't need me to do The Grand Challenge, anyone can try it.
Read post #1 or #2 and take off.
I just wanted to see how my Power Totals Formula would do in The Grand Challenge.
So far right at (62%) Winners but only 6.8% of the way into it. Incredibly long way to go.
Good luck if u try it.
Falcon Sports
Posted:
#1637
3 distinct groups to The Grand Challenge
1. (25-8) incredible start
2. (1-7) inevitable regression
3. (16-11) reality / current run (59.26%) W
Good luck today guys, ill have my Top NBA Power Total going tonight and the NBA plays that we have used are hitting (78%) Winners.
Falcon Sports
Posted:
#1646
We better hope Karl Anthony towns plays tonight or the over isnt near as likely. He’s still an unknown at this point.
this is where I love the picks but I’m in such a rush to play the game before the line movies I’m stupid for not checking the injury report. A month ago a game most of us bet on, the line kept going crazy uo and down. I checked to see why. It’s because the best player on the floor, Fox for the Sacramento kings was a game time decision. When they announced 45 min before the tip he would play I jumped on the spread after playing the over on this thread. I thought the best player would energize his teammates, the crowd, and he’d come out balling.
the lber didn’t hit. My guess on a +100 ML saved me that night and I’m dumb for not checking it out tonight. If you check too much, you miss the early line, if you don’t check out and do your own homework, you might wish that you had.
Earlier I was nervous to play on this thread the football game, I love the falcons system etc, but Minnesota was missing their qb. Their backup was not rated good at all. And a mod major was the favorite over a power 5. I skipped it and of course I shouldn’t have. So congratulations to the Falcon and the followers who picked that bowl game. That’s awesome.
I was also half asleep, a little hungover from Christmas days, and Tom tired to research before the line moved and it eventually moved so much I almost bet the opposite. I’m glad I didn’t and stayed away.
Anyway. If Karl Anthony doesn’t play tonight I’m taking OKC at home while the t wolves finish up the road trip while the best player on the court sits and I fear the over might miss.
im dumb and the falcon is not, so pay me no attention, just venting as I’m nervous waiting on updates about KAT injury updates. My guess is he plays. ?????.
good luck to all and I hope everyone had a merry Christmas: nkw let’s go make bank $$$ and be profitable between now and new years!! (And hopefully in 2024 lol: )
As always thanks Fallon I hope you had a MC as well.
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