Posted:
#51
so close. 
Tips on betting tennis
Posted:
#52
I'm new to wagering in Tennis. This thread is really good and a lot of posters offered their insight into their opinions in how to bet Tennis. I suppose what I've been doing the last two days is not good for the long run as I've read here so far. And they are correct, one big underdog win, and the whole wins will be wiped out.
Are there more insights and opinions that any other posters would like to make here. I am sure it would really be appreciated by newbies in this sport such as me. Thanks.
Posted:
#57
The best approach to tennis betting will probably be a loose combination of following:
1. Identify spots where heavy favorites (top 10 ranked players) are vulnerable, such as:
A. Streaks: wins by either favorites (10+) or dogs(over 40%) over earlier rounds.
These have a strong tendency to revert themselves.
B. Percentage of 3 set matches.
3. There are players who earn most of their ranking points on a specific surface.
Oppose them on other surfaces.
4. Back outright low-ranked players with strong records in smaller (500 and below) tournaments.
to be continued..
1. Identify spots where heavy favorites (top 10 ranked players) are vulnerable, such as:
B.Overplaying (generally 3 tournaments over any 5 week period),travel, change of surface.
C.Injuries. In big tournaments top players usually try to play on, but rarely go beyond QFs.
D.Personal issues. Top guys are pretty good nowadays when it comes to dealing with this, but
they do have plenty of off-court commitments which affect their level of effort and performance.
2. Monitor current stats for every tournament.C.Injuries. In big tournaments top players usually try to play on, but rarely go beyond QFs.
D.Personal issues. Top guys are pretty good nowadays when it comes to dealing with this, but
they do have plenty of off-court commitments which affect their level of effort and performance.
A. Streaks: wins by either favorites (10+) or dogs(over 40%) over earlier rounds.
These have a strong tendency to revert themselves.
B. Percentage of 3 set matches.
3. There are players who earn most of their ranking points on a specific surface.
Oppose them on other surfaces.
4. Back outright low-ranked players with strong records in smaller (500 and below) tournaments.
to be continued..
Posted:
#63
Ive been betting on Tennis since 2008. At first I lost a lot, but now from experience I put up good profits. Some key things I learned over the years:
1): Don't get too attached to players you like.
-Some players are exciting to watch, play with a lot of flair and go for their shots etc. Though you cannot blindly follow the players you like all the time. They all have peaks and troughs, and each match is an entirely different situation.
2): Think about the match from a player's motivational standpoint. Do they have ranking points to defend? Is it a hometown tournament? Could the player just be using the match to gain match fitness, ahead of a bigger event? A good example of this: Is Nadal's poor record in smaller events, where his concentration/effort levels are lower than the slams, and the opposition always seem to raise their game against Nadal.
Also with some players it is best to watch their 1st round match, to see how they are performing. And if you think their heart really is in the tournament. One example i can think of is ALeksandr Dolgopolov. Some tournaments he is unbeatable, though some tournaments he'll be knocked out of the first round by an underdog 6-2 6-1
3): FORM!! is KEY. This might sound like an obvious one. But it definitely helps to follow the form guy in tennis. Bad results can often be contagious and knock confidence.
4): If a player has just won a tournament or lost in a final, then has to travel and play at a next event a day or two later, he is usually going to be pretty fatigued. Especially if doing a lot of traveling. Avoid backing these players, or try to go against them. Have a look to see how many matches they've played over a certain time period.
Also this can work in reverse. Some players who haven't played much tennis over a particular time period could be lacking match sharpness, although physically fit.
5): Look to back underdogs to beat Favorites, especially in first rounds. This is when you get the most upsets. Look for players who are full of confidence after successful spells on the challengers and have made the step up to an ATP 250 for instance.
1): Don't get too attached to players you like.
-Some players are exciting to watch, play with a lot of flair and go for their shots etc. Though you cannot blindly follow the players you like all the time. They all have peaks and troughs, and each match is an entirely different situation.
2): Think about the match from a player's motivational standpoint. Do they have ranking points to defend? Is it a hometown tournament? Could the player just be using the match to gain match fitness, ahead of a bigger event? A good example of this: Is Nadal's poor record in smaller events, where his concentration/effort levels are lower than the slams, and the opposition always seem to raise their game against Nadal.
Also with some players it is best to watch their 1st round match, to see how they are performing. And if you think their heart really is in the tournament. One example i can think of is ALeksandr Dolgopolov. Some tournaments he is unbeatable, though some tournaments he'll be knocked out of the first round by an underdog 6-2 6-1
3): FORM!! is KEY. This might sound like an obvious one. But it definitely helps to follow the form guy in tennis. Bad results can often be contagious and knock confidence.
4): If a player has just won a tournament or lost in a final, then has to travel and play at a next event a day or two later, he is usually going to be pretty fatigued. Especially if doing a lot of traveling. Avoid backing these players, or try to go against them. Have a look to see how many matches they've played over a certain time period.
Also this can work in reverse. Some players who haven't played much tennis over a particular time period could be lacking match sharpness, although physically fit.
5): Look to back underdogs to beat Favorites, especially in first rounds. This is when you get the most upsets. Look for players who are full of confidence after successful spells on the challengers and have made the step up to an ATP 250 for instance.
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