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My Picks for week of 8/2

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Veteran
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Posted: #76
betus

 
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Posted: #77
im on nalby too. lets get this
 
Captain
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Posted: #78
That slight of line movement is nothing to worry about. I'm firmly on Nalby, might even up the bet more as it approaches. 
 
Captain
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Posted: #79
Nalbandian now -121 on 5 Dimes... good sign there
 
Captain
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Posted: #80
Baltacha +275 1 Unit to win 2.75 Units 
Malek +135 1 Unit to win 1.35 Units 
Parlay: Chakvetadze & Georges +105 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units 
Parlay: Pironkova & Kerber -114 1.14 Units to win 1 Unit 
Kleybanova +114 1 Unit to win 1.14 Units
Shevedova +174 1 Unit to win 1.74 Units 
Parlay: Stosur & Radwanska -108 1.08 Units to win 1 Unit
Parlay: Bagdahtis & Hewitt -120 1.2 Units to win 1 Unit
Marchenko +260 1 Unit to win 2.60 Units
Chiudinelli +139 1 Unit to win 1.39 Units 
Nalbandian -111 2.22 Units to win 2 Units 

not the best start 1-4 so far -3.09 Units still plenty out there though. Marchenko up 2-0 early on Gulbis, cashing that at +260 would put me back to nearly even for the day. 
 
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Posted: #81
Baltacha +275 1 Unit to win 2.75 Units 
Malek +135 1 Unit to win 1.35 Units 
Parlay: Chakvetadze & Georges +105 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units 
Parlay: Pironkova & Kerber -114 1.14 Units to win 1 Unit 
Kleybanova +114 1 Unit to win 1.14 Units
Shevedova +174 1 Unit to win 1.74 Units 
Parlay: Stosur & Radwanska -108 1.08 Units to win 1 Unit
Parlay: Bagdahtis & Hewitt -120 1.2 Units to win 1 Unit
Marchenko +260 1 Unit to win 2.60 Units 
Chiudinelli +139 1 Unit to win 1.39 Units 
Nalbandian -111 2.22 Units to win 2 Units 

Marchenko winner makes the day a bit better... 

2-4 -0.49 Units now, day could go either way now... 

Radwanska putting a complete beating on Safina though which was the tough part of that parlay with her and Stosur. 
 
Captain
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Posted: #82
A shame that Pironkova got smashed, felt real good about that Kerber pick, but the parlay didn't survive long enough for her beating to mean anything. 
 
Captain
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Posted: #83
Baltacha +275 1 Unit to win 2.75 Units 
Malek +135 1 Unit to win 1.35 Units 
Parlay: Chakvetadze & Georges +105 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units 
Parlay: Pironkova & Kerber -114 1.14 Units to win 1 Unit 
Kleybanova +114 1 Unit to win 1.14 Units
Shevedova +174 1 Unit to win 1.74 Units 
Parlay: Stosur & Radwanska -108 1.08 Units to win 1 Unit 
Parlay: Bagdahtis & Hewitt -120 1.2 Units to win 1 Unit
Marchenko +260 1 Unit to win 2.60 Units 
Chiudinelli +139 1 Unit to win 1.39 Units 
Nalbandian -111 2.22 Units to win 2 Units 

4-4 +1.90 Units now for the day... This Nalbandian match is going to be huge. 
 
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Posted: #84
Go Nabby.
 
Captain
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Posted: #85
Nalbandian easy winner 5-5 +2.70 Units on the day... Only Kleybanova left. Ensured a winning day. 
 
Captain
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Posted: #86
Baltacha +275 1 Unit to win 2.75 Units 
Malek +135 1 Unit to win 1.35 Units 
Parlay: Chakvetadze & Georges +105 1 Unit to win 1.05 Units 
Parlay: Pironkova & Kerber -114 1.14 Units to win 1 Unit 
Kleybanova +114 1 Unit to win 1.14 Units 
Shevedova +174 1 Unit to win 1.74 Units 
Parlay: Stosur & Radwanska -108 1.08 Units to win 1 Unit 
Parlay: Bagdahtis & Hewitt -120 1.2 Units to win 1 Unit 
Marchenko +260 1 Unit to win 2.60 Units 
Chiudinelli +139 1 Unit to win 1.39 Units 
Nalbandian -111 2.22 Units to win 2 Units 

6-5 +3.84 Units for the day. Plays for Thursday will be posted shortly. 
 
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Posted: #87
Looking forward to see what you got on deck for tomorrow.
 
Captain
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Posted: #88
Parlay: Wozniacki, Zvonereva, Kuznetsova, Chakvetadze +114 2 Units to win 2.28 Units (Wozniacki and Zvonereva are both over -1000 and should be locks. Nothing on paper points to either of them losing or really having much trouble at all. This parlay boils down to Chakvetadze and Kuznetsova who I both feel good about. Chakvetadze is in great form right now, she's won her last 8 matches and does her best work on the hard court she seems destined for the finals this week. Her opponent Hercog has played 70% of her career matches on Clay, so this week on the hard court is a far way from her comfort zone. Her going against one of the hottest players on tour who will be playing on her best surface should be way too much for Hercog to handle. Onto Kuznetsova, she had a nice win over Wickmayer in the first round and much like Chakvetadze she does her best work on the hard court. Her opponent Errani is a clay court specialist who is out of her element and overmatched here. Kuznetsova won a matchup between these two 6-1, 6-2 just 2 weeks ago. Should be more of the same tomorrow)
 
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Posted: #89
Mistake... had a typo on Chakvetadze's opponent. She is facing Lapushcenkova not Hercog. Same reasoning applies though. Lap has only played 19% of her career matches on hard court. Won't be in her comfort zone against a player that's hitting on all cylinders. 
 
Captain
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Posted: #90
also have a lean to Keothavong but not an official play, I would strongly advise against laying the heavy chalk on Hercog tomorrow. 
 
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Posted: #91
adding...

Keothavong +235 0.5 Units to win 1.175 Units (Here i'm mainly fading Hercog and her lack of success and experience on the hard court. She's 20-24 career on hard courts and maybe it's just me but that doesn't add up to a -275 favorite. Keothavong on the other hand prefers hard court and does her best work there. Nearly 70% of her matches have been on hard court she's 123-78, this isn't a huge play but certainly worth 0.5 units. I mean 123-78 or 20-24? and the 123-78 is getting +235? Sign me up)
 
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Posted: #92
Early Card:

Parlay: Wozniacki, Zvonereva, Kuznetsova, Chakvetadze +114 2 Units to win 2.28 Units
Keothavong +235 0.5 Units to win 1.175 Units 

more to come in the morning.. time for me to crash. 
 
Captain
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Posted: #93
Keothavong took the first set just couldn't close the deal... oh well. Onto the parlay. 
 
Captain
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Posted: #94

I like Over 22 in the Berdych - Golubev match. Thomas seemingly is pulling a Querrey this week - I won't be surprised if he wins this tournament while dropping a set every match he plays.

Might play Tie-Break YES at +160

 
Captain
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Posted: #95
Over 22 seems good to me as well. GL if you play it
 
Captain
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Posted: #96

Chakvetadze serving at 6-3 *4-4... the second to final point in the game was a 30+ shot rally. Her reaction (she won the point) was priceless. Basically absence of reaction. She just stood there, gasping for breath. Feels pretty good since I just go back from a long jog haha.

Hope she holds on!



 
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Posted: #97

6-3 6-4, great stuff

aces: AL 1 - 0 AC

DFs: AL 12 - 0 AC

Nice pick, I tailed you on Chakvetadze. The girl is tough.

 
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Posted: #98
thanks Muggsy, she's been playing really well. 1/4th of the way to hitting on that +114 parlay now and 2 of the 3 remaining are -1000 or more. 
 
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Posted: #99
Looks like your plan to fade Hercog will pay off next round.  I'll be on board there.  Don't know who she's playing, but I enjoy the fade idea here.
 
 
Captain
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Posted: #100
Let's hope so Rakez.... adding some plays on the Mens side here shortly. 
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