I don’t have a strong feel on today’s matches as I feel both of them could go either way. Obviously it’s easy to side with Alcaraz vs an inconsistent Rublev but the juice isn’t worth it to me. The second match Fritz vs Cerundolo is another toss up to me. My head says just roll with Fritz but Francisco looked pretty damn good yesterday against Zverev. Fritz could also be up and down if his serve isn’t on, so I’m staying away from today’s matches.
Tomorrow however I feel pretty confident in Medvedev & Sinner. Parlay them both for + odds.
Yes we all know clay is not Med’s favorite surface but these courts in Madrid are playing a lot faster which plays in Med’s favor. Lehecka on the other hand has looked decent & may have some hype around him after beating Nadal inflating the line. I’ve loved Nadal’s competitiveness and how much fun he seems to be having out there, but it’s pretty obvious that he just doesn’t have what it takes to beat higher level competition anymore. (I was all over Lehecka ML yesterday after watching Nadal vs Cachin). His defense is there but you won’t see him slapping winners. He simply doesn’t have the power anymore. Not that over powering his opponents was ever his strongest weapon but now he just hits lollipops over the middle of the court. For his own sake it’s better he gets knocked out in these tournaments in a somewhat competitive match against tier 2-3 players as opposed to what would happen if he went up against the top guys. I’m a fan of all the goats (Federer, Nadal, Djoker). I root for all of them whenever they play. So I will admit that it hurts to accept the decline (likely because it means I’m getting older too), but ya gotta take it for what it is. When they toss you those favorable lines just because of the name, HAMMER IT. I hope we are not there yet with Djoker. It doesn’t seem possible that he could have went from being so dominant for the majority of last season to looking as bad as he has since that Sinner match at the AO. I’m going to chalk it up as a bit of mental fatigue and he’ll bounce back, but we shall see. Ok rant over — onto tomorrows matches!
Sinner vs FAA
Not much to say about Sinner. He’s been about as consistent as they come. As long as he’s healthy this should be pretty straight forward in my opinion. FAA beat a very in-form Ruud in straight sets which was impressive, however once again the faster playing conditions on these courts I believe played in FAA’s favor. I don’t see that being an issue for Sinner, as it actually probably plays in his own favor.
Im no expert but I do watch tennis pretty consistently. I don’t ever post but I do check the forum from time to time and read up on what you all have to say so I’m curious what your thoughts are on these two matches. Clay season typically is my worst in terms of betting, but these two seem pretty straightforward to me.
Let me know your thoughts!
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
5/1
Alcaraz vs. Rublev
Fritz vs. Cerundolo
5/2
Medvedev vs. Lehecka
Sinner vs. Auger-Aliassime
I don’t have a strong feel on today’s matches as I feel both of them could go either way. Obviously it’s easy to side with Alcaraz vs an inconsistent Rublev but the juice isn’t worth it to me. The second match Fritz vs Cerundolo is another toss up to me. My head says just roll with Fritz but Francisco looked pretty damn good yesterday against Zverev. Fritz could also be up and down if his serve isn’t on, so I’m staying away from today’s matches.
Tomorrow however I feel pretty confident in Medvedev & Sinner. Parlay them both for + odds.
Yes we all know clay is not Med’s favorite surface but these courts in Madrid are playing a lot faster which plays in Med’s favor. Lehecka on the other hand has looked decent & may have some hype around him after beating Nadal inflating the line. I’ve loved Nadal’s competitiveness and how much fun he seems to be having out there, but it’s pretty obvious that he just doesn’t have what it takes to beat higher level competition anymore. (I was all over Lehecka ML yesterday after watching Nadal vs Cachin). His defense is there but you won’t see him slapping winners. He simply doesn’t have the power anymore. Not that over powering his opponents was ever his strongest weapon but now he just hits lollipops over the middle of the court. For his own sake it’s better he gets knocked out in these tournaments in a somewhat competitive match against tier 2-3 players as opposed to what would happen if he went up against the top guys. I’m a fan of all the goats (Federer, Nadal, Djoker). I root for all of them whenever they play. So I will admit that it hurts to accept the decline (likely because it means I’m getting older too), but ya gotta take it for what it is. When they toss you those favorable lines just because of the name, HAMMER IT. I hope we are not there yet with Djoker. It doesn’t seem possible that he could have went from being so dominant for the majority of last season to looking as bad as he has since that Sinner match at the AO. I’m going to chalk it up as a bit of mental fatigue and he’ll bounce back, but we shall see. Ok rant over — onto tomorrows matches!
Sinner vs FAA
Not much to say about Sinner. He’s been about as consistent as they come. As long as he’s healthy this should be pretty straight forward in my opinion. FAA beat a very in-form Ruud in straight sets which was impressive, however once again the faster playing conditions on these courts I believe played in FAA’s favor. I don’t see that being an issue for Sinner, as it actually probably plays in his own favor.
Im no expert but I do watch tennis pretty consistently. I don’t ever post but I do check the forum from time to time and read up on what you all have to say so I’m curious what your thoughts are on these two matches. Clay season typically is my worst in terms of betting, but these two seem pretty straightforward to me.
I’m riding the 3 heavy favs at +170. Alcaraz, Medvedev and Sinner. Nothing big.
Consistency reigns on the clay. Sinner and Medvedev are as tight as they come in todays game so I like how they fare against their opponents. Alcaraz is a class above Rublev. As long as Alcaraz can stay focused, he should win. I think Rublev has a better chance against Alcaraz outside of clay.
GL on your bets.
I’m riding the 3 heavy favs at +170. Alcaraz, Medvedev and Sinner. Nothing big.
Consistency reigns on the clay. Sinner and Medvedev are as tight as they come in todays game so I like how they fare against their opponents. Alcaraz is a class above Rublev. As long as Alcaraz can stay focused, he should win. I think Rublev has a better chance against Alcaraz outside of clay.
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